Goodman R M
Fed Proc. 1986 Sep;45(10):2432-7.
The transfer in the past 3 decades of modern agricultural technology to countries of the Third World has led to a steady improvement in global food production. The results have not been evenly distributed, however, and serious problems remain. Modern biotechnology may contribute to solving some of the problems of high input costs and may also contribute to decreasing the risks associated with agriculture in developing economies. Several problems must be overcome, however. Among these are finding ways to bring the advanced technological capabilities of private companies, both large and small, to the international agricultural research network where commercial incentives are not strong or are inappropriate. Also, unless and until severe countervailing forces, such as population growth rates and deterioration of the environment, are brought under control the spread of new agricultural technology will be of little consequence in the most difficult famine-prone situations.
在过去三十年里,现代农业技术向第三世界国家的转移使得全球粮食产量稳步提高。然而,成果的分配并不均衡,严重问题依然存在。现代生物技术可能有助于解决高投入成本的一些问题,也可能有助于降低发展中经济体农业相关的风险。然而,有几个问题必须克服。其中包括找到方法,将大大小小的私营公司的先进技术能力引入商业激励不强或不合适的国际农业研究网络。此外,除非诸如人口增长率和环境恶化等严重的抵消力量得到控制,否则在最容易发生饥荒的困难情况下,新农业技术的推广将收效甚微。