Huang Jikun, Pray Carl, Rozelle Scott
Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 917 Building, Anwai Datun Road, Beijing 100101, China.
Nature. 2002 Aug 8;418(6898):678-84. doi: 10.1038/nature01015.
Solutions to the problem of how the developing world will meet its future food needs are broader than producing more food, although the successes of the 'Green Revolution' demonstrate the importance of technology in generating the growth in food output in the past. Despite these successes, the world still faces continuing vulnerability to food shortages. Given the necessary funding, it seems likely that conventional crop breeding, as well as emerging technologies based on molecular biology, genetic engineering and natural resource management, will continue to improve productivity in the coming decades.
尽管“绿色革命”的成功证明了技术在过去粮食产量增长中的重要性,但发展中世界如何满足其未来粮食需求这一问题的解决方案,比单纯生产更多粮食更为广泛。尽管取得了这些成功,世界仍面临着持续的粮食短缺风险。如果有必要的资金投入,传统作物育种以及基于分子生物学、基因工程和自然资源管理的新兴技术,在未来几十年似乎仍将继续提高生产力。