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新冠疫情期间美国封锁措施对温室气体排放的影响:一项经济投入产出生命周期评估

The Impacts on Greenhouse Gases Emission during the COVID-19 lockdown in the US: An Economic Input-Output Life Cycle Assessment.

作者信息

Orak Nur H, Alshehri Khaled, Chen Xiaoju

机构信息

Marmara University, Istanbul, 34722, Turkey.

Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, 15213, United States.

出版信息

Procedia CIRP. 2022;105:25-30. doi: 10.1016/j.procir.2022.02.005. Epub 2022 Mar 8.

Abstract

The SARS-CoV-2 virus pandemic (COVID-19) is causing disruptions to energy, finance, tourism, and trade industries all around the world. These disruptions are the result of quarantining and lockdowns that cause reductions in production and consumptions. This change in production and consumption rates has environmental consequences. This study investigates the environmental effects of COVID-19 lockdown in the United States by Input-Output Life Cycle Assessment (IO-LCA) approach. The analysis is based on extraction of economic data in the US. The simulated results are based on different durations and strategies of lockdown measures. Among all industrial categories, utilities, which include power generation and supply, water supply, and natural gas supply sectors, saw the most significant reductions by approximately 110 kt CO-eq in the first quarter and 265 kt CO-eq in the second quarter of 2020. The assessed reductions were the results of both direct emission reductions caused by the shutdown of certain industries and also indirect emission reductions from upstream industries. The proposed methodology provides an effective guideline to predict the greenhouse gases emissions, which can be used as a prediction method for different regions in the world.

摘要

严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)引发的全球大流行(新冠肺炎)正在扰乱世界各地的能源、金融、旅游和贸易行业。这些扰乱是隔离和封锁导致生产和消费减少的结果。生产和消费率的这种变化具有环境影响。本研究采用投入产出生命周期评估(IO-LCA)方法调查了美国新冠肺炎封锁措施的环境影响。该分析基于美国经济数据的提取。模拟结果基于不同的封锁措施持续时间和策略。在所有工业类别中,包括发电与供电、供水和天然气供应部门的公用事业部门在2020年第一季度和第二季度的减排最为显著,分别约为110千吨二氧化碳当量和265千吨二氧化碳当量。评估的减排量是某些行业停产导致的直接减排以及上游行业间接减排的结果。所提出的方法为预测温室气体排放提供了有效的指导方针,可作为世界不同地区的预测方法。

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