Ishiwatari Mikio, Sasaki Daisuke
Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, Kashiwa 277-8563, Japan.
International Research Institute of Disaster Science, Tohoku University, Sendai 980-8577, Japan.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Mar 11;19(6):3346. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19063346.
Investment in disaster risk reduction is crucial in order to mitigate disaster damage. However, for many countries, particularly developing ones, financing investment in disaster risk reduction is challenging. This study aims to examine the factors that affect investments in flood protection and the approaches to securing investments by analyzing investment trends in Japan.
This study examines 150 years of flood protection and investment cycles that helped reduce damages in Japan. The dataset of flood protection budgets, flood damage, and national income since 1878 was created from public statistics. Documents and reports concerned with disaster management, river management, and finance were examined.
The study found five investment cycles of flood protection from the late 19th century to the present. The country established financing mechanisms, such as legislation and long-term plans, following major flood disasters. However, external shocks such as war, economic recession, disaster, and tightened national finance had a major impact on these investments. The fluctuations in the budget created an investment cycle. The country had increased its budget to 0.9% of its national income in the 1990s. It often experienced flood damage accounting for over 1% of the national income until 1961, but succeeded in decreasing the damage to less than 1%, and currently it is limited to less than 0.4%.
The financial mechanisms established from the long-term perspective could support an increase in budgets for flood protection, leading to a decrease in damage. However, established financing mechanisms may weaken the financial flexibility of the country.
为减轻灾害损失,对减少灾害风险进行投资至关重要。然而,对许多国家,尤其是发展中国家而言,为减少灾害风险的投资筹集资金具有挑战性。本研究旨在通过分析日本的投资趋势,考察影响防洪投资的因素以及确保投资的方法。
本研究考察了有助于减少日本灾害损失的150年防洪及投资周期。自1878年以来的防洪预算、洪水损失和国民收入数据集由公共统计数据创建。审查了与灾害管理、河流管理和财政有关的文件和报告。
该研究发现了从19世纪末到现在的五个防洪投资周期。该国在重大洪水灾害后建立了立法和长期规划等融资机制。然而,战争、经济衰退、灾害和国家财政收紧等外部冲击对这些投资产生了重大影响。预算波动形成了一个投资周期。该国在20世纪90年代将预算提高到国民收入的0.9%。直到1961年,该国经常遭受占国民收入1%以上的洪水损失,但成功将损失降至1%以下,目前限制在0.4%以下。
从长期角度建立的金融机制可以支持增加防洪预算,从而减少损失。然而,既定的融资机制可能会削弱该国的财政灵活性。