使用避孕套对艾滋病流行的影响。

The impact of condom use on the HIV epidemic.

作者信息

Stover John, Teng Yu

机构信息

Center for Modeling and Analysis, Avenir Health, Glastonbury, CT, 06033, USA.

出版信息

Gates Open Res. 2022 Feb 11;5:91. doi: 10.12688/gatesopenres.13278.2. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

Condom promotion and supply was one the earliest interventions to be mobilized to address the HIV pandemic. Condoms are inexpensive and provide protection against transmission of HIV and other sexually transmitted diseases (STIs) as well as against unintended pregnancy. As many as 16 billion condoms may be used annually in all low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). In recent years the focus of HIV programs as been on testing and treatment and new technologies such as PrEP. Rates of condom use have stopped increasing short of UNAIDS targets and funding from donors is declining. We applied a mathematical HIV transmission model to 77 high HIV burden countries to estimate the number of HIV infections that would have occurred from 1990 to 2019 if condom use had remained at 1990 levels. The results suggest that current levels of HIV would be five times higher without condom use and that the scale-up in condoms use averted about 117 million HIV infections. HIV programs should ensure that affordable condoms are consistently available and that the benefits of condom use are widely understood.

摘要

避孕套推广与供应是为应对艾滋病疫情而最早开展的干预措施之一。避孕套价格低廉,可预防艾滋病毒及其他性传播感染的传播,还能防止意外怀孕。所有低收入和中等收入国家每年使用的避孕套数量可能多达160亿只。近年来,艾滋病项目的重点一直放在检测、治疗以及暴露前预防等新技术上。避孕套使用率的增长停滞,未达联合国艾滋病规划署的目标,且捐助方的资金正在减少。我们运用一个艾滋病病毒传播数学模型,对77个艾滋病负担沉重的国家进行分析,以估算如果避孕套使用率维持在1990年的水平,1990年至2019年期间可能会发生的艾滋病病毒感染数量。结果表明,如果不使用避孕套,目前的艾滋病病毒感染水平将高出五倍,而避孕套使用量的扩大避免了约1.17亿例艾滋病病毒感染。艾滋病项目应确保始终有价格合理的避孕套供应,并让人们广泛了解使用避孕套的益处。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2c4f/8933616/7f0ec18ba78b/gatesopenres-5-14833-g0000.jpg

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