Comparison of Neural Network and Logistic Regression Analysis to Predict the Probability of Urinary Tract Infection Caused by Cystoscopy.

PURPOSE

Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are the most common infections among hospitalized patients. Cystoscopy is a minimally invasive procedure to check bladder disease, among the patients receiving procedure, approximately 10% of patients may experience UTI. In this study, a neural network model with high accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity was developed to predict the probability of UTIs caused by cystoscopic procedures. To reduce antibiotic overuse during cystoscopic procedures, the model can provide clinicians with a rapid assessment of whether patients require prophylactic antibiotics.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients who underwent cystoscopic procedures at China Medical University Beigang Hospital from 2016 to 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. A total of 1647 patients were enrolled, and 147 cases of urinary tract infection occurred. An artificial neural network (ANN) and logistic regression analysis were used to develop the prediction models, and the two models were compared.

RESULTS

The logistic regression analysis model had an accuracy of 91%, sensitivity of 2%, and specificity of 99%, indicating that the logistic regression model predicted that most patients had a low risk of infection. The neural network model had a high accuracy of 85%, sensitivity of 80%, and specificity of 88%.

CONCLUSIONS

Because the logistic regression model had low sensitivity and missed most cases of UTI, the logistic regression model is inappropriate for clinical application. The neural network model has superior predictive ability and can be considered a tool in clinical practice.