Volta Vittoria, Aste Tomaso
Department of Computer Science, University College London, Gower Street, London, UK.
UCL Centre for Blockchain Technologies, UCL, London, UK.
R Soc Open Sci. 2022 Mar 30;9(3):211342. doi: 10.1098/rsos.211342. eCollection 2022 Mar.
We investigate high-frequency reactions in the Eurozone stock market and the UK stock market during the time period surrounding European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE)'s interest rate decisions, assessing how these two markets react and co-move influencing each other. The effects are quantified by measuring linear and nonlinear transfer entropy combined with a bivariate empirical mode decomposition from a dataset of 1 min prices for the Euro Stoxx 50 and the FTSE 100 stock indices. We uncover that central banks' interest rate decisions induce an upsurge in intraday volatility that is more pronounced on ECB announcement days and there is a significant information flow between the markets with prevalent direction going from the market where the announcement is made towards the other.
我们研究了欧洲央行(ECB)和英国央行(BoE)利率决策前后这段时间内欧元区股票市场和英国股票市场的高频反应,评估这两个市场如何相互影响、共同变动。通过结合线性和非线性转移熵,并对欧元区斯托克50指数和富时100指数的1分钟价格数据集进行双变量经验模态分解,对这些影响进行量化。我们发现,央行的利率决策会导致日内波动性激增,这在欧洲央行宣布利率的日子里更为明显,而且两个市场之间存在显著的信息流,其普遍方向是从宣布利率的市场流向另一个市场。