Little Mark P, Brenner Alina V, Grant Eric J, Sugiyama Hiromi, Preston Dale L, Sakata Ritsu, Cologne John, Velazquez-Kronen Raquel, Utada Mai, Mabuchi Kiyohiko, Ozasa Kotaro, Olson John D, Dugan Gregory O, Pazzaglia Simonetta, Cline J Mark, Applegate Kimberly E
Radiation Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Radiation Effects Research Foundation, Hiroshima, Japan.
Int J Radiat Biol. 2022 May 2;98(11):1673-1683. doi: 10.1080/09553002.2022.2063962. Print 2022.
One of the principal uncertainties when estimating population risk of late effects from epidemiological data is that few radiation-exposed cohorts have been followed up to extinction. Therefore, the relative risk model has often been used to estimate radiation-associated risk and to extrapolate risk to the end of life. Epidemiological studies provide evidence that children are generally at higher risk of cancer induction than adults for a given radiation dose. However, the strength of evidence varies by cancer site and questions remain about site-specific age at exposure patterns. For solid cancers, there is a large body of evidence that excess relative risk (ERR) diminishes with increasing age at exposure. This pattern of risk is observed in the Life Span Study (LSS) as well as in other radiation-exposed populations for overall solid cancer incidence and mortality and for most site-specific solid cancers. However, there are some disparities by endpoint in the degree of variation of ERR with exposure age, with some sites (e.g., colon, lung) in the LSS incidence data showing no variation, or even increasing ERR with increasing age at exposure. The pattern of variation of excess absolute risk (EAR) with age at exposure is often similar, with EAR for solid cancers or solid cancer mortality decreasing with increasing age at exposure in the LSS. We shall review the human data from the Japanese LSS cohort, and a variety of other epidemiological data sets, including a review of types of medical diagnostic exposures, also some radiobiological animal data, all bearing on the issue of variations of radiation late-effects risk with age at exposure and with attained age. The paper includes a summary of several oral presentations given in a Symposium on "Age effects on radiation response" as part of the 67th Annual Meeting of the Radiation Research Society, held virtually on 3-6 October 2021.
根据流行病学数据估算晚期效应的人群风险时,主要的不确定因素之一是,很少有受辐射队列被随访至全部死亡。因此,相对风险模型常被用于估算辐射相关风险,并将风险外推至生命末期。流行病学研究表明,对于给定的辐射剂量,儿童通常比成人患癌风险更高。然而,证据的力度因癌症部位而异,关于特定部位的暴露年龄模式仍存在疑问。对于实体癌,有大量证据表明,超额相对风险(ERR)会随着暴露年龄的增加而降低。在寿命研究(LSS)以及其他受辐射人群中,对于总体实体癌发病率和死亡率以及大多数特定部位实体癌,都观察到了这种风险模式。然而,ERR随暴露年龄的变化程度在不同终点之间存在一些差异,LSS发病率数据中的一些部位(如结肠、肺)显示没有变化,甚至ERR会随着暴露年龄的增加而增加。超额绝对风险(EAR)随暴露年龄的变化模式通常相似,在LSS中,实体癌或实体癌死亡率的EAR会随着暴露年龄的增加而降低。我们将回顾日本LSS队列的人体数据,以及各种其他流行病学数据集,包括对医学诊断性暴露类型的回顾,还有一些放射生物学动物数据,所有这些都与辐射晚期效应风险随暴露年龄和达到年龄的变化问题相关。本文还总结了在2021年10月3日至6日以线上形式举行的辐射研究协会第67届年会上,“年龄对辐射反应的影响”研讨会上的几场口头报告内容。