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发达经济体中可再生能源、技术创新和二氧化碳排放之间的非对称联动关系:非线性 ARDL 分析。

Asymmetric linkages between renewable energy, technological innovation, and carbon-dioxide emission in developed economies: non-linear ARDL analysis.

机构信息

Finance Department, College of Business Administration, Prince Sultan University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Aug;29(40):60744-60758. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-20206-0. Epub 2022 Apr 15.

Abstract

Although economic development has been strong in the world's 18 most developed economies, carbon-dioxide emission (COE) has been steadily declining in recent decades. As a result, the purpose of this research is to investigate the role of variables that contribute to the reduction of COE in these economies by using a dataset 1990 to 2019. GDP, [Formula: see text], renewable energy use (REC), and technical innovation (INNO) have been selected as the independent variables for this study. A strategy based on asymmetric ARDL (NARDL) technique is utilized in conjunction with a pooled mean group (PMG) estimation technique to investigate the asymmetrical relationships between COE and the exogenous variables under consideration. For the purpose of determining the direction of causality, the Granger non-causality test is utilized. Furthermore, a unidirectional causality is discovered between GDP and CO emissions as well as between GDP and technological innovation. An environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis has been confirmed to exist, and renewable energy has been identified as a significant variable in reducing COE. The study also confirmed that COE is reduced by positive technological innovation shocks and increased by negative shocks. As a result of the findings, the study did a causality test and came up with policy recommendations.

摘要

尽管世界上 18 个最发达经济体的经济发展强劲,但二氧化碳排放量(COE)在最近几十年中稳步下降。因此,本研究的目的是通过使用 1990 年至 2019 年的数据来调查导致这些经济体 COE 减少的变量的作用。本研究选择 GDP、[Formula: see text]、可再生能源利用(REC)和技术创新(INNO)作为自变量。研究采用基于非对称 ARDL(NARDL)技术的策略,并结合平均分组(PMG)估计技术,研究 COE 与所考虑的外生变量之间的非对称关系。为了确定因果关系的方向,使用了格兰杰非因果关系检验。此外,在 GDP 和 CO 排放之间以及 GDP 和技术创新之间发现了单向因果关系。已经证实存在环境库兹涅茨曲线假说,并且可再生能源被确定为降低 COE 的重要变量。该研究还证实,COE 会因积极的技术创新冲击而减少,因负面冲击而增加。根据研究结果,进行了因果关系测试并提出了政策建议。

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