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高天门冬氨酸氨基转移酶/丙氨酸氨基转移酶比值可能与老年人全因死亡率相关:一项使用人工智能和传统分析方法的回顾性队列研究

High Aspartate Aminotransferase/Alanine Aminotransferase Ratio May Be Associated with All-Cause Mortality in the Elderly: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Artificial Intelligence and Conventional Analysis.

作者信息

Nakajima Kei, Yuno Mariko, Tanaka Kazumi, Nakamura Teiji

机构信息

School of Nutrition and Dietetics, Faculty of Health and Social Services, Kanagawa University of Human Services, 1-10-1 Heisei-cho, Yokosuka 238-8522, Japan.

Saitama Medical Center, Department of Endocrinology and Diabetes, Saitama Medical University, 1981 Kamoda, Kawagoe 350-8550, Japan.

出版信息

Healthcare (Basel). 2022 Apr 2;10(4):674. doi: 10.3390/healthcare10040674.

Abstract

Low serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) activity and high aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/ALT ratio may be associated with high mortality in the elderly. We aimed to confirm this in an 8-year retrospective cohort study. Clinical data for 5958 people living in a city aged 67−104 years were analyzed for their relationships with all-cause mortality using artificial intelligence (AI) and conventional statistical analysis. In total, 1413 (23.7%) participants died during the study. Auto-AI analysis with five rounds of cross-validation showed that AST/ALT ratio was the third-largest contributor to mortality, following age and sex. Serum albumin concentration and body mass index were the fourth- and fifth-largest contributors. However, when serum ALT and AST were individually considered in the same model, the individual serum ALT and AST activities were the seventh- and tenth-largest contributors. Conventional survival analysis showed that ALT, AST, and AST/ALT ratio as continuous variables were all associated with mortality (adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals): 0.98 (0.97−0.99), 1.02 (1.02−1.03), and 1.46 (1.32−1.62), respectively; all p < 0.0001). In conclusion, both AI and conventional analysis suggest that of the conventional biochemical markers, high AST/ALT ratio is most closely associated with all-cause mortality in the elderly.

摘要

血清丙氨酸氨基转移酶(ALT)活性低和天冬氨酸氨基转移酶(AST)/ALT比值高可能与老年人的高死亡率相关。我们旨在通过一项为期8年的回顾性队列研究来证实这一点。对5958名年龄在67 - 104岁的城市居民的临床数据进行分析,使用人工智能(AI)和传统统计分析方法研究其与全因死亡率的关系。在研究期间,共有1413名(23.7%)参与者死亡。经过五轮交叉验证的自动AI分析表明,AST/ALT比值是导致死亡率的第三大因素,仅次于年龄和性别。血清白蛋白浓度和体重指数分别是第四和第五大因素。然而,当在同一模型中单独考虑血清ALT和AST时,个体血清ALT和AST活性分别是第七和第十大因素。传统生存分析表明,作为连续变量的ALT、AST和AST/ALT比值均与死亡率相关(调整后的风险比(95%置信区间)分别为:0.98(0.97 - 0.99)、1.02(1.02 - 1.03)和1.46(1.32 - 1.62);所有p < 0.0001)。总之,AI和传统分析均表明,在传统生化标志物中,高AST/ALT比值与老年人的全因死亡率关系最为密切。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4835/9029370/34afb9a6dff9/healthcare-10-00674-g001.jpg

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