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审视中国全国性空气环保努力下城市 PM2.5 污染风险的潜在规模法则。

Examining the Potential Scaling Law in Urban PM2.5 Pollution Risks along with the Nationwide Air Environmental Effort in China.

机构信息

College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University, Jinan 250014, China.

School of Civil Engineering, Shandong Jiaotong University, Jinan 250023, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Apr 7;19(8):4460. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19084460.

Abstract

Urban scaling law provides a quantitative understanding of the fundamental nonlinear properties of how cities work. Addressing this, this study intended to examine the potential scaling law that may lie in urban air pollution. With ground-monitored PM2.5 data and statistical socioeconomic factors in 265 Chinese cities (2015-2019), a targeted analysis, based on the scaling power-law model and scale-adjusted metropolitan indicator (SAMI) was conducted. The main findings of this study were summarized as follows: (1) A significant sublinear scaling relationship between PM2.5 and urban population size indicated that air quality degradation significantly lagged behind urban growth, affirming the remarkable effectiveness of national efforts on atmospheric environment improvement. (2) SAMI analysis expressed the relative conflict risk between PM2.5 pollution and urbanization and showed significant spatial cluster characteristics. Cities in central China showed higher potential risk than other regions, and there was a clear southward tendency for the city clusters with increasing SAMIs during the study period. (3) During the study period, urbanization was not the reason affecting the human-land conflict in terms of air pollution. This study is significant in that it marked the first innovative incorporation of the scaling law model into an urban environmental risk study. It also offered a new perspective from which to reframe the urban PM2.5 pollution risk, along with the nationwide air environmental effort in China, which will benefit future research on multi-types of urban environmental issues.

摘要

城市标度定律提供了对城市运作基本非线性特性的定量理解。本研究旨在检验城市空气污染中可能存在的潜在标度定律。本研究利用 2015-2019 年 265 个中国城市的地面监测 PM2.5 数据和统计社会经济因素,基于标度幂律模型和规模调整大都市指标(SAMI)进行了针对性分析。本研究的主要发现总结如下:(1)PM2.5 与城市人口规模之间存在显著的次线性标度关系,表明空气质量恶化明显滞后于城市增长,肯定了国家在改善大气环境方面的显著成效。(2)SAMI 分析表达了 PM2.5 污染与城市化之间相对冲突风险,并表现出显著的空间集聚特征。与其他地区相比,中国中部城市的潜在风险更高,并且在研究期间,随着 SAMI 的增加,城市集群呈现出明显的向南趋势。(3)在研究期间,城市化不是造成空气污染方面人类-土地冲突的原因。本研究的意义在于,它首次将标度定律模型创新性地纳入城市环境风险研究中。它还为重新构建城市 PM2.5 污染风险提供了新的视角,以及中国全国范围内的空气环境努力,这将有益于未来对多种类型的城市环境问题的研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e39f/9027287/f37370e8d551/ijerph-19-04460-g0A1.jpg

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