School of Geographic Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China.
Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing 210023, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Oct 13;17(20):7443. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17207443.
Fine particulate matter(PM2.5) pollution will affect people's well-being and cause economic losses. It is of great value to study the impact of PM2.5 on the real estate market. While previous studies have examined the effects of PM2.5 pollution on urban housing prices, there has been little in-depth research on these effects, which are spatially heterogeneous at different conditional quantiles. To address this issue, this study employs quantile regression (QR) and geographically weighted quantile regression (GWQR) models to obtain a full account of asymmetric and spatial non-stationary effects of PM2.5 pollution on urban housing prices through 286 Chinese prefecture-level cities for 2005-2013. Considerable differences in the data distributions and spatial characteristics of PM2.5 pollution and urban housing prices are found, indicating the presence of asymmetric and spatial non-stationary effects. The quantile regression results show that the negative influences of PM2.5 pollution on urban housing prices are stronger at higher quantiles and become more pronounced with time. Furthermore, the spatial relationship between PM2.5 pollution and urban housing prices is spatial non-stationary at most quantiles for the study period. A negative correlation gradually dominates in most of the study areas. At higher quantiles, PM2.5 pollution is always negatively correlated with urban housing prices in eastern coastal areas and is stable over time. Based on these findings, we call for more targeted approaches to regional real estate development and environmental protection policies.
细颗粒物(PM2.5)污染会影响人们的福祉并造成经济损失。研究 PM2.5 对房地产市场的影响具有重要价值。虽然先前的研究已经检验了 PM2.5 污染对城市住房价格的影响,但对于这些在不同条件分位数上存在空间异质性的影响,深入研究还很少。为了解决这个问题,本研究采用分位数回归(QR)和地理加权分位数回归(GWQR)模型,通过 2005-2013 年中国 286 个地级市的数据,全面考虑了 PM2.5 污染对城市住房价格的非对称和空间非平稳影响。发现 PM2.5 污染和城市住房价格的数据分布和空间特征存在很大差异,表明存在非对称和空间非平稳影响。分位数回归结果表明,PM2.5 污染对城市住房价格的负面影响在较高分位数上更强,并随时间推移而加剧。此外,在研究期间,PM2.5 污染与城市住房价格之间的空间关系在大多数分位数上是空间非平稳的。在大多数研究区域,负相关逐渐占据主导地位。在较高分位数上,PM2.5 污染与东部沿海地区的城市住房价格始终呈负相关,且随时间稳定。基于这些发现,我们呼吁采取更有针对性的区域房地产开发和环境保护政策。