School of Public Administration and Law, Hunan Agricultural University, Changsha 410128, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Apr 14;19(8):4759. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19084759.
Fertility, social status, and social trust are main social choice behaviors of Chinese farmers. This paper adopts the childbearing-value logic to establish a theoretical model of farmers' childbearing-social status-social trust choices to examine the influence of farmers' childbearing and social status on farmers' social trust. The theoretical model showed that farmers will rationally choose the number of children to bear, emotional value, social value, economic value, social status, and social trust. The fertility of farmers' children is actually a trade-off between quantity and value, and the fertility behavior affects social status through the direct mechanism of the number of children and the value of the adjustment mechanism, and together with the social status, through the direct mechanism, the adjustment mechanism of the number of children, the intermediate mechanism of social status, and the mixed adjustment mechanism. Asymmetry affects social trust equilibrium. Empirical research based on the CFPS (China Family Panel Studies) data in 2018 showed that farmers' children quantity primarily inhibits, through the adjustment mechanism of children's value-social status, social status and social trust; it exerts no direct impact or mediating effect on the social status. The economic value of children does not affect the social status, but it affects social trust through a positive child quantity adjustment mechanism, a negative social status mediation mechanism, and a negative mixed mediation mechanism. The social value of children affects social trust by the positive direct mechanism and the negative children quantity adjustment mechanism, as well as social trust by the negative direct mechanism, children quantity adjustment mechanism, children quantity-social status mixed adjustment mediating mechanism, and the positive social status-mediated mechanism. The emotional value of children affects the social status through the positive direct mechanism, as well as social trust through the positive direct mechanism, social status-mediated mechanism, and negative child quantity adjustment mechanism, and negative mixed mediation mechanism. Furthermore, social status positively impacts social trust rather than a symmetric transmission of the mediating effect of children's value and the quantity adjustment effect of children's value. However, no mediating effect of social trust was observed on children quantity. Social development leads to structural changes in the fertility value of farmers' children, which makes farmers prefer their children's social and economic value, exerting a complex impact on their own social status and social trust.
生育、社会地位和社会信任是中国农民的主要社会选择行为。本文采用生育价值观逻辑,构建了农民生育-社会地位-社会信任选择的理论模型,检验了农民生育和社会地位对农民社会信任的影响。理论模型表明,农民会理性选择生育子女数量、情感价值、社会价值、经济价值、社会地位和社会信任。农民子女的生育实际上是数量和价值之间的权衡,生育行为通过子女数量的直接机制和调整机制的价值影响社会地位,同时通过子女数量的直接机制、社会地位的调整机制、社会地位的中间机制和混合调整机制的社会地位影响社会信任均衡。基于 2018 年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据的实证研究表明,农民子女数量主要通过子女价值-社会地位的调整机制抑制社会地位,而对社会地位没有直接影响或中介效应;子女的经济价值对社会地位没有影响,但通过积极的子女数量调整机制、消极的社会地位中介机制和消极的混合中介机制影响社会信任。子女的社会价值通过积极的直接机制和消极的子女数量调整机制影响社会信任,以及通过消极的直接机制、子女数量调整机制、子女数量-社会地位混合调整中介机制和积极的社会地位中介机制影响社会信任。子女的情感价值通过积极的直接机制和通过积极的直接机制、社会地位中介机制、子女数量调整机制、子女数量-社会地位混合中介机制和消极混合中介机制影响社会信任。此外,社会地位对社会信任有积极的影响,而不是通过子女价值的中介效应和子女价值数量调整效应的对称传递。然而,没有观察到社会信任对子女数量的中介效应。社会发展导致农民子女生育价值观结构发生变化,使农民更加注重子女的社会和经济价值,对自身社会地位和社会信任产生复杂影响。