Universidade de São Paulo, Escola de Enfermagem de Ribeirão Preto, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brasil.
Centro Universitário Dinâmica das Cataratas, Foz do Iguaçu, PR, Brasil.
Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2022 Apr 20;31(1):e2021951. doi: 10.1590/S1679-49742022000100018. eCollection 2022.
To analyze the spatial and temporal distribution of leprosy in a scenario of low endemicity in the state of São Paulo, Brazil.
Ecological study with leprosy cases in Ribeirão Preto, between 2006 to 2016. The temporal trend of leprosy detection was verified through the decomposition of time series and identified areas of high and low occurrence of the disease using the Getis-Ord Gi* technique.
There were 890 cases, and the detection rate showed an increasing trend in the period from 2011 to 2015, with an average growth of 1% per month. Areas of high occurrence of the disease were identified in the northern region of the city (99% and 95% confidence).
The temporal analysis showed that the rate of detection of leprosy presented an increasing trend, and the spatial analysis showed that the region of the municipality with the highest occurrence of the disease is characterized by presenting the greatest social inequalities.
分析巴西圣保罗州低流行地区麻风病的时空分布。
对里贝拉诺波利斯 2006 年至 2016 年的麻风病病例进行生态研究。通过时间序列分解验证麻风病检测的时间趋势，并使用 Getis-Ord Gi*技术确定高发病率和低发病率地区。
共发现 890 例病例，发病率在 2011 年至 2015 年期间呈上升趋势，平均每月增长 1%。在城市北部地区发现了高发病率地区（置信度为 99%和 95%）。
时间分析显示麻风病的检出率呈上升趋势，空间分析显示发病率最高的城市区域的特点是社会不平等程度最高。
