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基于动态收益和波动溢出的视角:加密货币、原油、清洁能源与股票市场的关联性研究——时变分析。

On the dynamic return and volatility connectedness of cryptocurrency, crude oil, clean energy, and stock markets: a time-varying analysis.

机构信息

Department of Economics, Eastern Mediterranean University, Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, Via Mersin 10, Famagusta, 99628, Turkey.

Department of Economics, OSTIM Technical University, Ankara, 06374, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Sep;29(43):65185-65196. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-20115-2. Epub 2022 Apr 28.

Abstract

The high energy consumption of cryptocurrency transactions has raised concerns about the environment and sustainability among green investors and regulatory authorities. The current study examines the connectedness among clean energy, Bitcoin, the stock market, and crude oil empirically. The time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) is used to estimate the dynamics of connectedness in a daily dataset spanning the period November 11, 2013 to September 30, 2021. We find that the clean energy and traditional stock markets transmit shocks to Bitcoin and oil in terms of return, and they receive shocks in terms of volatility from Bitcoin and oil. Additionally, Bitcoin and other financial markets are only tenuously linked during non-crisis periods. Nonetheless, their connection strengthens substantially during times of crisis, such as the great cryptocurrency crash of 2018 and the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020. We believe that these findings can help explain how clean energy and cryptocurrency markets are linked during times of crisis.

摘要

加密货币交易的高能耗引起了绿色投资者和监管机构对环境和可持续性的关注。本研究实证检验了清洁能源、比特币、股票市场和原油之间的关联性。利用时变参数向量自回归(TVP-VAR)模型,在 2013 年 11 月 11 日至 2021 年 9 月 30 日的日度数据集中估计了关联的动态。研究发现,清洁能源和传统股票市场在收益方面向比特币和石油传递冲击,在波动方面从比特币和石油接收冲击。此外,比特币和其他金融市场在非危机时期的联系仅较为微弱。然而,在危机时期,它们的联系会显著增强,例如 2018 年的加密货币大崩溃和 2020 年的 COVID-19 大流行。我们认为这些发现可以帮助解释清洁能源和加密货币市场在危机时期是如何联系在一起的。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5de9/9049653/b75cd9830be9/11356_2022_20115_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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