Office of Biostatistics, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, US Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, MD, USA.
Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia.
Lancet Oncol. 2022 May;23(5):e229-e234. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(22)00021-3.
Time-to-event endpoints for patient-reported outcomes, such as time to deterioration of symptoms or function, are frequently used in cancer clinical trials. Although time-to-deterioration endpoints might seem familiar to cancer researchers for being similar to survival or disease-progression endpoints, there are unique considerations associated with their use. The complexity of time-to-deterioration endpoints should be weighed against the information that they add to the tumour, survival, and safety data used to inform the risks and benefits of an investigational drug. Here we use the estimand framework to show how analytical decisions answer different clinical questions of interest, some of which might be uninformative. Challenges including the consideration of intercurrent events, the difficulty in maintaining adequate completion rates, and considerable patient and trial burden from long-term, serial, patient-reported outcome measurements render time to deterioration a problematic approach for widespread use. For trials in which a comparative benefit in symptoms or function is an objective, an analysis at pre-specified relevant timepoints could be a better approach.
对于癌症临床试验,常采用患者报告结局的时间性终点,如症状或功能恶化的时间。尽管时间性恶化终点看起来与生存或疾病进展终点相似,对癌症研究人员来说很熟悉,但它们的使用也存在一些独特的注意事项。在权衡使用时间性恶化终点的复杂性与它们为肿瘤、生存和安全性数据提供的信息时,这些信息可用于确定研究药物的风险和获益。在此,我们使用估计量框架展示分析决策如何回答不同的临床关注问题,其中一些问题可能无信息价值。挑战包括考虑并发事件、难以保持足够的完成率,以及长期、连续、患者报告结局测量给患者和试验带来的巨大负担,这些都使得时间性恶化成为一种存在问题的广泛应用方法。对于以症状或功能的改善为目标的试验,在预先指定的相关时间点进行分析可能是一种更好的方法。