Data Center and Health Outcomes Research Unit, Italian Group for Adult Hematologic Diseases (GIMEMA), Rome, Italy.
Data Center and Health Outcomes Research Unit, Italian Group for Adult Hematologic Diseases (GIMEMA), Rome, Italy; Department of Medical Social Sciences, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA.
J Clin Epidemiol. 2023 Oct;162:118-126. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2023.08.009. Epub 2023 Aug 25.
To apply the estimand framework in time to deterioration (TTD) analysis of patient-reported outcomes (PROs), and identify the appropriate statistical methods to deal with intercurrent event (IEs) such as death.
Data from phase II randomized trial were used. We estimated TTD using European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire-C30 questionnaire with death as the IE, by applying Kaplan-Meier (K.M.) estimator and Cox proportional hazards (PH) model. The Fine-Gray approach was explored, accounting for death as a competing risk. The estimands targeted by the aforementioned methods were defined.
We analyzed the data of 64 patients with available questionnaires at baseline. The most notable differences in TTD estimates were observed for deterioration in physical functioning: the hazard ratios were 0.44 [95% CI 0.22-0.90] and 0.62 [95% CI 0.36-1.07] by either ignoring death (31 events) or considering it as deterioration (58 events), respectively (Cox-PH model). When considering death as a competing event (Fine-Gray model), the sub-HRs was 0.51 [95% CI 0.26-1.01].
Depending on the proportion and distribution of deaths occurring before deterioration between arms, the Fine-Gray competing risks model should be considered rather than KM estimator and Cox PH model to reflect the patient's experience of the disease and treatment burden.
将受处理意向(estimand)框架及时应用于患者报告结局(PRO)的至恶化时间(TTD)分析,并确定适当的统计方法来处理诸如死亡等并发事件(IEs)。
使用来自 II 期随机试验的数据。我们通过应用 Kaplan-Meier(K.M.)估计器和 Cox 比例风险(PH)模型,将死亡作为 IE,使用欧洲癌症研究与治疗组织生活质量问卷-C30 问卷来估计 TTD。探讨了 Fine-Gray 方法,将死亡作为竞争风险进行考虑。定义了上述方法所针对的受处理意向。
我们分析了 64 名基线时可提供问卷的患者的数据。在 TTD 估计中,身体功能恶化的差异最为显著:在忽略死亡(31 个事件)或将其视为恶化(58 个事件)时,风险比分别为 0.44 [95%置信区间 0.22-0.90] 和 0.62 [95%置信区间 0.36-1.07](Cox-PH 模型)。当将死亡视为竞争事件(Fine-Gray 模型)时,亚风险比为 0.51 [95%置信区间 0.26-1.01]。
根据臂之间恶化前死亡的比例和分布情况,应考虑 Fine-Gray 竞争风险模型,而不是 K.M.估计器和 Cox PH 模型,以反映患者的疾病体验和治疗负担。