Farzan Nina, Foroghi Ghomi Seyed Yaser, Mohammadi Atefeh Raeisi
Department of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine, Shahid Beheshti Hospital, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran.
Student of Research Committee, School of Medicine, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran.
Ann Med Surg (Lond). 2022 Mar 28;76:103536. doi: 10.1016/j.amsu.2022.103536. eCollection 2022 Apr.
Predicting the outcome of trauma helps clinician to prioritize patients and provide timely and effective treatment. Several scoring systems are implemented to predict prognosis and mortality among these patients. Our study aims to use four scoring systems to predict mortality among multiple trauma patients.
In retrospective descriptive study, the data was collected from records of (XXX) of multiple trauma patients referred to the hospital from June 2019-January 2020. The patients were scored using four scoring systems: MGAP (mechanism, Glasgow coma scale, age, and arterial pressure), GAP (Glasgow coma scale, age, and arterial pressure), ISS (injury severity score) and RTS (revised trauma score).
The mean age of the patients was 37.4 ± 4.2 years and of 112 patients, 92 patients (82.1%) were males. Sensitivity of GAP, RTS and ISS was 100% in predicting mortality where MGAP had highest specificity, 97.2%. All four scoring systems significantly predicted mortality, p < 0.001, respectively and the highest area under the curve was for RTS criteria, 0.969.
MGAP, GAP, RTS and ISS were all effective in predicting mortality among multiple trauma patients whereas MGAP had both, highest sensitivity and specificity. Scoring trauma for mortality can be achieved by using any of the systems, provided the information required for score can be obtained.
预测创伤的结果有助于临床医生对患者进行优先排序,并提供及时有效的治疗。实施了几种评分系统来预测这些患者的预后和死亡率。我们的研究旨在使用四种评分系统来预测多发伤患者的死亡率。
在一项回顾性描述性研究中,数据收集自2019年6月至2020年1月转诊至该医院的多发伤患者(XXX)的记录。使用四种评分系统对患者进行评分:MGAP(机制、格拉斯哥昏迷量表、年龄和动脉压)、GAP(格拉斯哥昏迷量表、年龄和动脉压)、ISS(损伤严重度评分)和RTS(修订创伤评分)。
患者的平均年龄为37.4±4.2岁,112例患者中,92例(82.1%)为男性。GAP、RTS和ISS在预测死亡率方面的敏感性为100%,其中MGAP的特异性最高,为97.2%。所有四种评分系统均能显著预测死亡率,p均<0.001,曲线下面积最大的是RTS标准,为0.969。
MGAP、GAP、RTS和ISS在预测多发伤患者的死亡率方面均有效,而MGAP的敏感性和特异性均最高。只要能够获得评分所需的信息,使用任何一种系统都可以实现对创伤死亡率的评分。