Clinical and Histological Prognostic Factors of Recurrence and Malignant Transformation in a Large Series of Oral Potentially Malignant Disorders.

BACKGROUND

Oral potentially malignant disorders (OPMDs) represent a heterogeneous set of different histological lesions, characterized by the capacity to transform in oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). Despite optimal surgical treatment, approximately 20%-30% of OPMDs may evolve into OSCC. No clear clinical/histological factors are able to identify OPMDs at higher risk of malignant transformation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We considered surgically treated patients with a diagnosis of OPMDs, enrolled from 1996 to 2019 at ASST Spedali Civili of Brescia without a diagnosis of OSCC within the previous 2 years. Clinical and histological characteristics were recorded. Outcomes of interest were recurrence-free survival (RFS), defined as the time from surgery for primary OPMD to any relapse of OPMD or malignant transformation, whichever occurred first, and carcinoma-free survival (CFS), defined as the time from surgery for OPMD to malignant transformation.

RESULTS

We retrospectively reviewed 106 OPMDs cases. Median age at first diagnosis was 64 years old (IQR = 18.75); female patients comprise 51.9% of the cases. During a median follow-up of 30.5 months (IQR = 44), in 23.5% of patients, malignant transformation occurred. RFS at 1, 5, and 10 years was 92.4%, 60.9%, and 43.2%, respectively. Female sex and history of previous OSCC were independent risk factors for RFS. CFS at 1, 5, and 10 years of follow-up was 97.1%, 75.9%, and 64.4%, respectively. Previous OSCC was an independent risk factor for CFS.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large series of OPMDs, only previous diagnosis of OSCC was a prognostic factor for further OSCC occurrence. Given the lack of additional clinical/pathological prognostic factors, we advocate further studies into molecular characterization of OPMDs to better stratify the risk of malignant transformation.