Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, The Third Central Clinical College of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, 300170, China.
Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, Tianjin Union Medical Center affiliated to Nankai University, 190 Jieyuan Road, Hongqiao District, Tianjin, 300121, China.
BMC Gastroenterol. 2022 May 11;22(1):231. doi: 10.1186/s12876-022-02316-8.
Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and life-threatening complication of liver failure. The purpose of this study is to construct a nomogram and online calculator to predict the development of hospital-acquired acute kidney injury (HA-AKI) in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which may contribute to the prognosis of ACLF.
574 ACLF patients were evaluated retrospectively. AKI was defined by criteria proposed by International Club of Ascites (ICA) and divided into community-acquired and hospital-acquired AKI (CA-AKI and HA-AKI). The difference between CA-AKI and HA-AKI, factors associated with development into and recovered from AKI periods. The risk factors were identified and nomograms were developed to predict the morbidity of HA-AKI in patients with ACLF.
Among 574 patients, 217(37.8%) patients had AKI, CA-AKI and HA-AKI were 56 (25.8%) and 161 (74.2%) respectively. The multivariate logistic regression model (KP-AKI) for predicting the occurrence of HA-AKI were age, gastrointestinal bleeding, bacterial infections, albumin, total bilirubin, blood urea nitrogen and prothrombin time. The AUROC of the KP-AKI in internal and external validations were 0.747 and 0.759, respectively. Among 217 AKI patients, 81(37.3%), 96(44.2%) and 40(18.4%) patients were with ICA-AKI stage progression, regression and fluctuated in-situ, respectively. The 90-day mortality of patients with AKI was 55.3% higher than non-AKI patients 21.6%. The 90-day mortality of patients with progression of AKI was 88.9%, followed by patients with fluctuated in-situ 40% and regression of AKI 33.3%.
The nomogram constructed by KP-AKI can be conveniently and accurately in predicting the development of HA-AKI, and AKI can increase the 90-day mortality significantly in ACLF patients. Trial registration Chinese clinical trials registry: ChiCTR1900021539.
急性肾损伤(AKI)是肝衰竭的常见且危及生命的并发症。本研究旨在构建列线图和在线计算器,以预测急性慢加急性肝衰竭(ACLF)患者发生医院获得性急性肾损伤(HA-AKI)的风险,这可能有助于预测 ACLF 的预后。
回顾性评估 574 例 ACLF 患者。AKI 按照国际腹水俱乐部(ICA)提出的标准定义,并分为社区获得性和医院获得性 AKI(CA-AKI 和 HA-AKI)。比较 CA-AKI 和 HA-AKI 的差异,分析 AKI 进展和恢复的相关因素。确定危险因素,并建立列线图预测 ACLF 患者 HA-AKI 的发病率。
574 例患者中,217 例(37.8%)发生 AKI,其中 CA-AKI 和 HA-AKI 分别为 56 例(25.8%)和 161 例(74.2%)。预测 HA-AKI 发生的多变量逻辑回归模型(KP-AKI)包括年龄、胃肠道出血、细菌感染、白蛋白、总胆红素、血尿素氮和凝血酶原时间。内部和外部验证的 KP-AKI 的 AUROC 分别为 0.747 和 0.759。在 217 例 AKI 患者中,ICA-AKI 分期进展、缓解和原地波动的患者分别为 81 例(37.3%)、96 例(44.2%)和 40 例(18.4%)。AKI 患者的 90 天死亡率为 55.3%,高于非 AKI 患者的 21.6%。AKI 进展患者的 90 天死亡率为 88.9%,其次是原地波动患者的 40%和 AKI 缓解患者的 33.3%。
KP-AKI 构建的列线图可以方便、准确地预测 HA-AKI 的发生,并显著增加 ACLF 患者的 90 天死亡率。
中国临床试验注册中心:ChiCTR1900021539。