International School of Public Health, Mohammed VI University of Health Sciences (UM6SS), Casablanca 82403, Morocco.
General Directorate of Meteorology, Casablanca 20000, Morocco.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Apr 20;19(9):4989. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19094989.
The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between meteorological parameters, air quality and daily COVID-19 transmission in Morocco. We collected daily data of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the Casablanca region, as well as meteorological parameters (average temperature, wind, relative humidity, precipitation, duration of insolation) and air quality parameters (CO, NO, 03, SO, PM10) during the period of 2 March 2020, to 31 December 2020. The General Additive Model (GAM) was used to assess the impact of these parameters on daily cases of COVID-19. A total of 172,746 confirmed cases were reported in the study period. Positive associations were observed between COVID-19 and wind above 20 m/s and humidity above 80%. However, temperatures above 25° were negatively associated with daily cases of COVID-19. PM10 and O had a positive effect on the increase in the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases, while precipitation had a borderline effect below 25 mm and a negative effect above this value. The findings in this study suggest that significant associations exist between meteorological factors, air quality pollution (PM10) and the transmission of COVID-19. Our findings may help public health authorities better control the spread of COVID-19.
本研究旨在探讨气象参数、空气质量与摩洛哥每日 COVID-19 传播之间的关系。我们收集了 2020 年 3 月 2 日至 2020 年 12 月 31 日期间卡萨布兰卡地区确诊 COVID-19 病例的每日数据,以及气象参数(平均温度、风速、相对湿度、降水、日照时间)和空气质量参数(CO、NO、03、SO、PM10)。使用广义加性模型(GAM)评估这些参数对每日 COVID-19 病例的影响。在研究期间,共报告了 172746 例确诊病例。COVID-19 与风速超过 20 m/s 和湿度超过 80%呈正相关。然而,温度高于 25°C 与每日 COVID-19 病例呈负相关。PM10 和 O3 对每日确诊 COVID-19 病例的增加有积极影响,而降水在 25 毫米以下有边缘效应,超过该值则有负面影响。本研究结果表明,气象因素、空气质量污染(PM10)与 COVID-19 的传播之间存在显著关联。我们的研究结果可能有助于公共卫生当局更好地控制 COVID-19 的传播。