Shbib Dabaja Bouthaina, Boyce-Fappiano David, Dong Wenli, Damron Ethan, Fang Penny, Gunther Jill, Rodriguez Maria A, Strati Paolo, Steiner Raphael, Nair Ranjit, Lee Hun, Abou Yehia Zeinab, Shihadeh Ferial, Pinnix Chelsea, Ng Andrea K
Departments of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Departments of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Clin Transl Radiat Oncol. 2022 May 13;35:64-69. doi: 10.1016/j.ctro.2022.04.011. eCollection 2022 Jul.
Therapeutic improvements for Hodgkin's Lymphoma (HL) has resulted in excellent survival outcomes. Thus, patients are increasing susceptible to developing secondary malignancy (SM) a feared iatrogenic complication.
MATERIALS & METHODS: We evaluated the SM risk in a cohort of patients with HL treated over a 50-year period. In total, 1653 patients were treated for HL from 1956 to 2009 at a tertiary-cancer-center. A cumulative incidence function was used to quantify SM risk and the Fine and Gray competing risk model was used to identify disease and treatment related correlates.
Two-hundred-ninety patients (19%) developed SMs. Paradoxically, SM risk was higher in the modern era with 20-year cumulative incidence rates of 11.1%, 11.9%, 17% and 21.8%, for patients treated <1970, 1971-1986, 1986-1995 and 1996-2009, respectively. We hypothesized that the disproportionately high rate of early deaths in the early era may skew the assessment of SM risks, a much-delayed event. When the analysis was restricted to patients with early-stage favorable HL treated >1980, we found a reversal of the trend, especially on the risk of solid tumor, with a hazard ratio of 0.57 (p = 0.0651) in patients treated after 1996.
Our findings highlight the limitations of comparing the risk of a late event between groups with disparate rates of early deaths, despite the use of a competing risk model. When partially corrected for, patients treated in the more recent time period experienced a lower solid tumor risk.
霍奇金淋巴瘤(HL)治疗方法的改进带来了出色的生存结果。因此,患者越来越容易发生继发性恶性肿瘤(SM),这是一种令人担忧的医源性并发症。
我们评估了一组在50年期间接受治疗的HL患者发生SM的风险。1956年至2009年,共有1653例患者在一家三级癌症中心接受HL治疗。采用累积发病率函数来量化SM风险,并使用Fine和Gray竞争风险模型来确定疾病和治疗相关的关联因素。
290例患者(19%)发生了SM。矛盾的是,在现代,SM风险更高,1970年以前、1971 - 1986年、1986 - 1995年和1996 - 2009年接受治疗的患者,其20年累积发病率分别为11.1%、11.9%、17%和21.8%。我们推测,早期高比例的过早死亡可能会使对SM风险的评估产生偏差,因为SM是一个发生时间非常晚的事件。当分析仅限于1980年以后接受治疗的早期预后良好的HL患者时,我们发现了趋势的逆转,尤其是实体瘤风险方面,1996年以后接受治疗的患者风险比为0.57(p = 0.0651)。
我们的研究结果强调了在比较早期死亡发生率不同的组之间晚期事件风险时的局限性,尽管使用了竞争风险模型。在进行部分校正后,近期接受治疗的患者实体瘤风险较低。