Wrotek August, Wrotek Oliwia, Jackowska Teresa
Department of Pediatrics, Centre of Postgraduate Medical Education, Marymoncka 99/103, 01-813 Warsaw, Poland.
Department of Pediatrics, Bielanski Hospital, Cegłowska 80, 01-809 Warsaw, Poland.
Diagnostics (Basel). 2022 May 5;12(5):1148. doi: 10.3390/diagnostics12051148.
Procalcitonin increases in bacterial infections, which are often suspected (though rarely confirmed) in paediatric influenza. We retrospectively verified procalcitonin's usefulness in antibiotic guidance in children hospitalized due to laboratory-confirmed influenza. The ROC curve analysis evaluated procalcitonin's performance in terms of antibiotic implementation or continuation in patients who were naive or had been receiving antibiotic treatment prior to hospital admission. We also assessed the procalcitonin's usefulness to predict lower-respiratory-tract infections (LRTI), the presence of radiologically confirmed pneumonia, an intensive care unit transfer and a fatal outcome. Multiple regression models were built to verify the previously reported procalcitonin cut-off values. The study enrolled 371 children (median age 33 months). The AUC (area under the curve) for antibiotic implementation reached 0.66 (95%CI: 0.58-0.73) and 0.713 (95%CI: 0.6-0.83) for antibiotic continuation; optimal cut-offs (0.4 and 0.23 ng/mL, respectively) resulted in a negative predictive value (NPV) of 79.7% (95%CI: 76.2-82.9%) and 54.6% (95%CI: 45.8-63%), respectively. The use of 0.25 ng/mL as a reference decreased the odds of antibiotic treatment by 67% (95%CI: 43-81%) and 91% (95%CI: 56-98%), respectively. Procalcitonin showed lower AUC for the prediction of LRTI and pneumonia (0.6, 95%CI: 0.53-0.66, and 0.63, 95%CI: 0.56-0.7, respectively), with a moderately high NPV in the latter case (83%, 95%CI: 79.3-86.1%). Procalcitonin use may decrease the antibiotic frequency in hospitalized influenza cases both in terms of antibiotic administration and continuation. Procalcitonin concentrations may suggest bacterial suprainfections at lower concentrations than in adults, and a focus on its rule-out value is of special interest.
降钙素原在细菌感染时会升高,而在儿童流感中常常怀疑有细菌感染(尽管很少得到证实)。我们回顾性地验证了降钙素原在因实验室确诊流感而住院的儿童抗生素指导方面的作用。ROC曲线分析评估了降钙素原在未使用过抗生素或入院前已接受抗生素治疗的患者中,在抗生素使用或继续使用方面的表现。我们还评估了降钙素原在预测下呼吸道感染(LRTI)、影像学证实的肺炎的存在、重症监护病房转诊和死亡结局方面的作用。建立了多元回归模型来验证先前报道的降钙素原临界值。该研究纳入了371名儿童(中位年龄33个月)。抗生素使用的曲线下面积(AUC)达到0.66(95%CI:0.58 - 0.73),抗生素继续使用的AUC为0.713(95%CI:0.6 - 0.83);最佳临界值(分别为0.4和0.23 ng/mL)导致阴性预测值(NPV)分别为79.7%(95%CI:76.2 - 82.9%)和54.6%(95%CI:45.8 - 63%)。以0.25 ng/mL作为参考值分别降低了67%(95%CI:43 - 81%)和91%(95%CI:56 - 98%)的抗生素治疗几率。降钙素原在预测LRTI和肺炎方面显示出较低的AUC(分别为0.6,95%CI:0.53 - 0.66,和0.63,95%CI:0.56 - 0.7),在后一种情况下NPV中等偏高(83%,95%CI:79.3 - 86.1%)。在住院流感病例中,无论是在抗生素给药还是继续使用方面,使用降钙素原都可能降低抗生素使用频率。降钙素原浓度可能在低于成人的浓度时提示细菌重叠感染,关注其排除值具有特殊意义。