Clustering trends of melanoma incidence and mortality: A worldwide assessment from 1995 to 2019.

BACKGROUND

Melanoma is a skin cancer that has higher mortality among cutaneous malignant tumours. Tumour incidence in most world regions is rising. Here, we intend to highlight these trends in the world.

METHODS

We used the global burden of disease dataset to assess the incidence and mortality of melanoma from 1995 to 2019 in 204 countries/territories. To identify country/territory groups with similar trends of melanoma incidence and mortality, a model-based clustering with a mixture of multivariate t-distributions was used.

RESULTS

Australia and New Zealand had the largest incidence and mortality rates. Men in Egypt and women in Sri Lanka and Guam had the lowest incidence and mortality rates. The clustering analysis revealed 4 classes of incidence in both gender and 3 and 2 classes of mortality in male and female, respectively. All groups had a growing incidence rate in both gender, similar to the worldwide trend. In 10% of the countries/territories, central and Western Europe, the incidence increase rate was greater than in the countries/territories with the greatest incidence. The total mortality rate for men was steadily growing, although it was decreasing in Asian and African countries/territories. Overall, the mortality rate for women remained relatively steady over time.

CONCLUSION

Due to the increasing trend of melanoma in the world, primary and secondary prevention of this disease, especially in areas with higher incidence and mortality, is essential. Raising awareness about the disease is helpful in prevention and early detection of melanoma.