Research Area 2 "Land Use and Governance", Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Müncheberg, Brandenburg, Germany.
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.
PLoS One. 2022 May 31;17(5):e0269088. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0269088. eCollection 2022.
In the Colombian context, disputes over natural resources, mainly over land, and poor governance are intertwined with armed conflict. Although efforts to address this situation, including the 2016 peace agreement signed between Colombian government and the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC, by Spanish acronym) are underway, these disputes continue, affecting land use dynamics. Understanding the complexity and trends in land use conflicts, as well as the specific regional characteristics underlying differing land use changes across regions, is critical. This article aims to systematically understand land use dynamics in two contrasting and conflict-affected territories in Colombia, Caquetá and Cesar, thus identifying entry points to address land-use conflicts at the regional level. To address the complexity of each regional case, we apply a methodology based on system thinking to capture the interconnections between socio-economic and environmental system components and their land use dynamics. Results depicted through causal loop diagrams not just show the cascade of environmental, social, and economic failures resulting from land use changes in these two conflict-affected territories but also suggest that land tenure systems innovations and the promotion of sustainable land use interventions at the regional level can reverse the consequences of the land use changes. Thus, future actions addressing land use conflicts must be context-dependent, tackling the root and structural causes.
在哥伦比亚的背景下，自然资源的争端，主要是土地争端，以及治理不善，都与武装冲突交织在一起。尽管正在努力解决这一问题，包括哥伦比亚政府与哥伦比亚革命武装力量（FARC，西班牙语首字母缩写）于 2016 年签署的和平协议，但这些争端仍在继续，影响了土地利用动态。了解土地使用冲突的复杂性和趋势，以及不同地区土地利用变化背后的具体区域特征，至关重要。本文旨在系统地了解哥伦比亚两个具有挑战性和受冲突影响的地区（卡克塔和塞萨尔）的土地利用动态，从而确定在区域层面解决土地使用冲突的切入点。为了应对每个区域案例的复杂性，我们应用基于系统思维的方法来捕捉社会经济和环境系统组件及其土地利用动态之间的相互联系。通过因果关系图呈现的结果不仅显示了这两个受冲突影响的地区土地利用变化所导致的环境、社会和经济问题的连锁反应，还表明土地保有权制度的创新和促进可持续土地利用干预措施可以扭转土地利用变化的后果。因此，解决土地使用冲突的未来行动必须是具体情况具体分析的，需要解决根本的和结构性的原因。
