一种综合的技术、经济和环境框架,用于评估老旧住宅建筑的屋顶光伏潜力。

An integrated technical, economic, and environmental framework for evaluating the rooftop photovoltaic potential of old residential buildings.

机构信息

Faculty of Civil Engineering and Mechanics, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, 212013, China.

Faculty of Civil Engineering and Mechanics, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, 212013, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2022 Sep 1;317:115296. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115296. Epub 2022 May 26.

Abstract

Energy-saving reconstruction of old residential buildings is a vital way to achieve sustainable development, but the potential of rooftop photovoltaic (PV) energy-saving in old residential buildings has not been studied. This study established a basic framework for the estimation of rooftop PV technical, economic and environmental potential in the old residential buildings of Nanjing City, and provide the prediction results for the development of rooftop PV development plan in Nanjing. We estimated the available area, maximum electricity generation, environmental and economic benefits of rooftop PV in five districts of Nanjing by using building roof profile data, calculation method of maximum solar radiation at optimal tilt angle and GIS method. We find that the electricity generation potential of installing rooftop PV in the old residential buildings in the study area would meet about 17.7-20% of the residential electricity demand under three scenarios of the PV performance ratios (PR). Additionally, the carbon reduction potential of the life cycle rooftop PV reaches 13912874.12t (PR = 0.85), 13094469.76t (PR = 0.8), and 12276065.4t (PR = 0.75), respectively; and the result of economic potential shows that the life cycle of rooftop PV cannot generate economic benefits with an NPV value less than 0. The feasibility analysis framework provided in this paper can be applied to the assessment of rooftop PV potential in other cities in China, and provide valuable advice for the rational planning of rooftop PV.

摘要

老旧小区住宅节能改造是实现可持续发展的重要途径,然而,老旧小区住宅屋顶光伏(PV)节能潜力尚未得到研究。本研究建立了估算南京市老旧小区住宅屋顶 PV 技术、经济和环境潜力的基本框架,并为南京市屋顶 PV 发展规划提供了发展预测结果。我们利用建筑屋顶轮廓数据、最佳倾斜角度最大太阳辐射计算方法和 GIS 方法,估算了南京市五个区老旧小区住宅屋顶的可用面积、最大发电量、屋顶 PV 的环境和经济效益。研究结果表明,在三种光伏性能比(PR)情景下,研究区域老旧小区住宅屋顶安装 PV 的发电潜力将满足居民用电量的 17.7-20%。此外,生命周期屋顶 PV 的碳减排潜力分别达到 13912874.12t(PR=0.85)、13094469.76t(PR=0.8)和 12276065.4t(PR=0.75);经济潜力的结果表明,生命周期屋顶 PV 的净现值(NPV)小于 0,无法产生经济效益。本文提供的可行性分析框架可应用于中国其他城市屋顶 PV 潜力评估,为屋顶 PV 的合理规划提供有价值的建议。

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