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基于炎症-免疫-营养评分(IINS)和传统经典预测指标的I-III期子宫内膜癌复发预测列线图模型

A Nomogram Model for Predicting Recurrence of Stage I-III Endometrial Cancer Based on Inflammation-Immunity-Nutrition Score (IINS) and Traditional Classical Predictors.

作者信息

Jiang Peng, Wang Jinyu, Gong Chunxia, Yi Qianlin, Zhu Mengqiu, Hu Zhuoying

机构信息

Department of Gynecology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, People's Republic of China.

Department of Gynecology, Chongqing Health Center for Women and Children, Chongqing, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

J Inflamm Res. 2022 May 22;15:3021-3037. doi: 10.2147/JIR.S362166. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of the inflammation-immunity-nutrition score (IINS) in patients with stage I-III endometrial cancer (EC) and establish a nomogram model to predict the recurrence of EC by combining IINS and traditional classical predictors.

METHODS

Seven hundred and seventy-five patients with stage I-III EC who underwent initial surgical treatment at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University were included in this study as the training cohort. In the training cohort, IINS (0-3) was constructed based on preoperative C-reactive protein (CRP), lymphocytes (LYM), and albumin (ALB). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to screen independent predictors associated with recurrence of EC for developing the nomogram model. Internal validation of the model was performed in the training cohort by using the C-index and calibration curve, while external validation of the model was performed in another cohort (validation cohort) of 491 patients from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University.

RESULTS

IINS was successfully constructed, and survival analysis showed that patients with high IINS had a worse prognosis. Multivariate analysis showed that IINS, age, FIGO stage, pathological type, myometrial invasion, lymphatic vessel space invasion (LVSI), Ki67 expression, estrogen receptor (ER) expression, and P53 expression were significantly associated with shorter recurrence-free survival, and then a nomogram model for predicting the recurrence of EC was successfully established. The internal and external calibration curves of the model showed that the model fit well, and the C-index (0.887 in training cohort and 0.883 in validation cohort) showed that the model proposed in this study had better prediction accuracy than other prediction models.

CONCLUSION

IINS may be a strong predictor of prognosis in patients with EC. The nomogram model incorporated into the IINS can better predict the recurrence of EC than the traditional models.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨炎症-免疫-营养评分(IINS)在Ⅰ-Ⅲ期子宫内膜癌(EC)患者中的预后价值,并通过结合IINS和传统经典预测指标建立预测EC复发的列线图模型。

方法

纳入在重庆医科大学附属第一医院接受初次手术治疗的775例Ⅰ-Ⅲ期EC患者作为训练队列。在训练队列中,基于术前C反应蛋白(CRP)、淋巴细胞(LYM)和白蛋白(ALB)构建IINS(0-3分)。采用单因素和多因素Cox回归分析筛选与EC复发相关的独立预测指标,以建立列线图模型。通过C指数和校准曲线在训练队列中对模型进行内部验证,同时在重庆医科大学附属第二医院的另一组491例患者(验证队列)中对模型进行外部验证。

结果

成功构建了IINS,生存分析显示IINS高的患者预后较差。多因素分析显示,IINS、年龄、国际妇产科联盟(FIGO)分期、病理类型、肌层浸润、淋巴管间隙浸润(LVSI)、Ki67表达、雌激素受体(ER)表达和P53表达与无复发生存期缩短显著相关,随后成功建立了预测EC复发的列线图模型。模型的内部和外部校准曲线显示模型拟合良好,C指数(训练队列中为0.887,验证队列中为0.883)表明本研究提出的模型比其他预测模型具有更好的预测准确性。

结论

IINS可能是EC患者预后的有力预测指标。纳入IINS的列线图模型比传统模型能更好地预测EC的复发。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a82a/9135581/50c6d197bbb6/JIR-15-3021-g0001.jpg

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