A comparison of neighbourhood level variation and risk factors for affective versus non-affective psychosis.

BACKGROUND

Studies typically highlight area level variation in the incidence of non-affective but not affective psychoses. We compared neighbourhood-level variation for both types of disorder, and the specific effects of neighbourhood urbanicity and ethnic density, using Danish national registry data.

METHODS

Population based cohort (2,224,464 people) followed from 1980 to 2013 with neighbourhood exposure measured at age 15 and incidence modelled using multilevel Poisson regression.

RESULTS

Neighbourhood variation was similar for both disorders with an adjusted median risk ratio of 1.37 (95% CI 1.34-1.39) for non-affective psychosis and 1.43 (1.38-1.49) for affective psychosis. Associations with neighbourhood urbanicity differed: living in the most compared to the least urban quintile at age 15 was associated with a minimal increase in subsequent affective psychosis, IRR 1.13 (1.01-1.27) but a substantial increase in rates of non-affective psychosis, IRR 1.66 (1.57-1.75). Mixed results were found for neighbourhood ethnic density: for Middle Eastern migrants there was an increased average incidence of both affective, IRR 1.54 (1.19-1.99), and non-affective psychoses, 1.13 (1.04-1.23) associated with each decrease in ethnic density quintile, with a similar pattern for African migrants, but for European migrants ethnic density appeared to be associated with non-affective psychosis only.

CONCLUSIONS

While overall variation and the effect of neighbourhood ethnic density were similar for both types of disorder, associations with urbanicity were largely confined to non-affective psychosis. This may reflect differences in aetiological pathways although the mechanism behind these differences remains unknown.