Traini Marco Claudio, Caponi Carla
Dipartimento di Fisica, Università degli Studi di Trento, Via Sommarive 14, I-38123 Trento-Povo, Italy.
Medicina Interna e Vascolare-Stroke Unit, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria, Piazzale Gambuli 1, 06132, Perugia, Italy.
IJID Reg. 2022 Jun;3:24-26. doi: 10.1016/j.ijregi.2022.02.006. Epub 2022 Feb 19.
In Italy and around the world, the year 2021 was dedicated to vaccination campaigns against the COVID-19 epidemic arising after the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 in China in 2019. In December 2020, we proposed a model prediction for the effects of vaccination, and now, after more than 9 months of the vaccination campaign, a comparison of those predictions with the actual data is mandatory. Surprising evidences emerge suggesting new strategies to consider regarding the spread of the virus and to protect frail people. After several months of the immunization campaign in Italy, it is estimated that approximately 20 000 deaths were avoided during the year 2021.
在意大利乃至全世界，2021年都致力于开展针对2019年中国出现严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2（SARS-CoV-2）疫情后引发的新冠疫情的疫苗接种运动。2020年12月，我们提出了一个关于疫苗接种效果的模型预测，而现在，在疫苗接种运动开展9个多月后，将这些预测与实际数据进行比较是必要的。令人惊讶的证据出现了，这表明在病毒传播和保护弱势群体方面需要考虑新的策略。在意大利开展免疫运动几个月后，据估计，2021年大约避免了2万例死亡。
