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成功完成 10 秒单腿站立测试可预测中老年个体的生存情况。

Successful 10-second one-legged stance performance predicts survival in middle-aged and older individuals.

机构信息

Exercise Medicine Clinic-CLINIMEX, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Exercise Medicine Clinic-CLINIMEX, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

出版信息

Br J Sports Med. 2022 Sep;56(17):975-980. doi: 10.1136/bjsports-2021-105360. Epub 2022 Jun 21.

DOI:10.1136/bjsports-2021-105360
PMID:35728834
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Balance quickly diminishes after the mid-50s increasing the risk for falls and other adverse health outcomes. Our aim was to assess whether the ability to complete a 10- s one-legged stance (10-second OLS) is associated with all-cause mortality and whether it adds relevant prognostic information beyond ordinary demographic, anthropometric and clinical data.

METHODS

Anthropometric, clinical and vital status and 10-s OLS data were assessed in 1702 individuals (68% men) aged 51-75 years between 2008 and 2020. Log-rank and Cox modelling were used to compare survival curves and risk of death according to ability (YES) or inability (NO) to complete the 10-s OLS test.

RESULTS

Overall, 20.4% of the individuals were classified as NO. During a median follow-up of 7 years, 7.2% died, with 4.6% (YES) and 17.5% (NO) on the 10-s OLS. Survival curves were worse for NO 10-s OLS (log-rank test=85.6; p<0.001). In an adjusted model incorporating age, sex, body mass index and comorbidities, the HR of all-cause mortality was higher (1.84 (95% CI: 1.23 to 2.78) (p0.001)) for NO individuals. Adding 10-s OLS to a model containing established risk factors was associated with significantly improved mortality risk prediction as measured by differences in -2 log likelihood and integrated discrimination improvement.

CONCLUSIONS

Within the limitations of uncontrolled variables such as recent history of falls and physical activity, the ability to successfully complete the 10-s OLS is independently associated with all-cause mortality and adds relevant prognostic information beyond age, sex and several other anthropometric and clinical variables. There is potential benefit to including the 10-s OLS as part of routine physical examination in middle-aged and older adults.

摘要

目的

50 多岁以后,平衡能力迅速下降,增加了跌倒和其他不良健康后果的风险。我们的目的是评估能否完成 10 秒单腿站立(10 秒 OLS)与全因死亡率相关,以及它是否在普通人口统计学、人体测量学和临床数据之外提供相关预后信息。

方法

评估了 2008 年至 2020 年间 1702 名年龄在 51-75 岁之间的个体(68%为男性)的人体测量学、临床和生命状态以及 10 秒 OLS 数据。使用对数秩和 Cox 模型比较根据能否(是)完成 10 秒 OLS 测试(是)或不能(否)完成 10 秒 OLS 测试的生存曲线和死亡风险。

结果

总体而言,20.4%的个体被归类为否。在中位数为 7 年的随访期间,有 7.2%的人死亡,其中 4.6%(是)和 17.5%(否)在 10 秒 OLS 上。不能完成 10 秒 OLS 的生存曲线更差(对数秩检验=85.6;p<0.001)。在包含年龄、性别、体重指数和合并症的调整模型中,全因死亡率的 HR 更高(1.84(95%CI:1.23 至 2.78)(p<0.001))。将 10 秒 OLS 添加到包含既定危险因素的模型中,与死亡率风险预测的显著改善相关,这可以通过 -2 对数似然和综合鉴别改善的差异来衡量。

结论

在无法控制跌倒和体力活动等近期史等变量的限制下,成功完成 10 秒 OLS 与全因死亡率独立相关,并在年龄、性别和其他几个人体测量学和临床变量之外提供了相关预后信息。将 10 秒 OLS 作为中年和老年人常规体检的一部分可能具有潜在益处。

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