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第二波新冠疫情期间因露天大规模葬礼柴堆火化导致空气质量差而加剧的死亡率

Exacerbation of Fatality Rates Induced by Poor Air Quality Due to Open-Air Mass Funeral Pyre Cremation during the Second Wave of COVID-19.

作者信息

Manoj M G, Satheesh Kumar M K, Valsaraj K T, Vijayan Soumya K, Nishanth T

机构信息

Advanced Centre for Atmospheric Radar Research, Cochin University of Science and Technology, Cochin 682022, India.

Department of Atomic and Molecular Physics, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal 576104, India.

出版信息

Toxics. 2022 Jun 6;10(6):306. doi: 10.3390/toxics10060306.

Abstract

This study investigates the air pollution-induced mortality rate during the second wave of COVID-19, which claimed several thousand lives in the capital city of India, New Delhi, even during a lockdown period. Delhi is a hotspot of unhealthy air quality. During the second wave of COVID-19 in 2021, surface ozone levels were observed to be higher, which had a direct impact on lung function, thereby making people more susceptible to COVID-19. The correlation coefficient between surface ozone concentration and mortality has been observed to be 0.74 at a 95% confidence level. This work focuses on the plausible impact and feedback of poor air quality induced by the burning of open-air funeral pyres due to the increased COVID-19 mortality rate in New Delhi, estimated by using an epidemiological model (AirQ+) of the World Health Organization. The mortality rate estimated quantitatively with the aid of AirQ+ is 1.27 excess deaths per 100,000 population due to surface ozone from pyre burning. The findings suggest transformational system goals before the resurgence of a subsequent wave.

摘要

本研究调查了第二波新冠疫情期间空气污染导致的死亡率,即便在封锁期间,印度首都新德里仍有数千人死于这一波疫情。新德里是空气质量不健康的热点地区。在2021年第二波新冠疫情期间,观测到地表臭氧水平较高,这对肺功能有直接影响,从而使人们更容易感染新冠病毒。在95%的置信水平下,地表臭氧浓度与死亡率之间的相关系数为0.74。这项工作聚焦于新德里因新冠死亡率上升,露天焚烧丧葬柴堆导致空气质量变差所产生的可能影响及反馈,通过使用世界卫生组织的流行病学模型(AirQ+)进行估算。借助AirQ+定量估算出的死亡率为,每10万人口中因柴堆燃烧产生的地表臭氧导致1.27例额外死亡。研究结果表明,在后续疫情波次卷土重来之前需要转变系统目标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1b64/9227097/f214755af97f/toxics-10-00306-g001.jpg

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