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可持续发展试验承担:来自中国创新示范区的经验。

Sustainable development trial undertaking: Experience from China's innovation demonstration zones.

机构信息

School of Environment, Tsinghua University, 30 Shuangqing Road, Beijing, 100084, China.

School of Environment & Natural Resources, Renmin University of China, No.59 Zhongguancun Street, Haidian District, Beijing, 100872, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2022 Sep 15;318:115370. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115370. Epub 2022 Jun 22.

Abstract

In December 2016, China proposed creating about ten sustainable development demonstration zones to create a batch of replicable and extendable demonstration models to fully realize the 2030 sustainable development goals (SDGs) and provide a reference for similar regions of emerging economies. It has now approved six cities that act as green and low carbon lifestyle laboratories. However, very few documents quantitatively evaluate this policy's natural, economic, and social impact. This article comprehensively uses dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) methods and input-output methods to portray the urgency of sustainable development in China. This article sets the sustainable indicator system for the approved six cities and sets scenario simulations based on transformation needs for quantitative evaluation. The results show that demonstration zones policies would lead to a decline in the output of heavily polluting industries. However, in China's current coal-dominated energy structure, the degree of positive impact on the growth of clean industry output would be less than the intensity of the impact on heavily polluting industries.

摘要

2016 年 12 月,中国提出创建约十个可持续发展示范区,打造一批可复制、可推广的示范样板,全面实现 2030 可持续发展目标,为新兴经济体的类似地区提供借鉴。目前已批准六个城市作为绿色低碳生活方式的实验室。然而,很少有文件定量评估该政策对自然、经济和社会的影响。本文综合运用动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)方法和投入产出方法,刻画了中国可持续发展的紧迫性。本文为已批准的六个城市设定了可持续指标体系,并根据转型需求进行了情景模拟,进行了定量评估。结果表明,示范区政策将导致高污染产业产出下降。然而,在中国目前以煤炭为主的能源结构下,对清洁产业产出增长的积极影响程度将小于对重污染产业的影响强度。

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