Spatio-temporal monitoring of marsh vegetation phenology and its response to hydro-meteorological factors using CCDC algorithm with optical and SAR images: In case of Honghe National Nature Reserve, China.

Vegetation phenology is a sensitive indicator which can comprehensively reflect the response of wetland vegetation to external environment changes. However, the time-series monitoring wetland vegetation phenological changes and clarifying its response to hydrology and meteorology still face great challenges. To fill these research gaps, this paper proposed a novel time-series approach for monitoring phenological change of marsh vegetation in Honghe National Nature Reserve (HNNR), Northeast China, using continuous change detection and classification (CCDC) algorithm and Landsat and Sentinel-1 SAR images from 1985 to 2021. We evaluated the spatio-temporal response relationship of phenological characteristics to hydro-meteorological factors by combining CCDC algorithm with partial least squares regression (PLSR). Finally, this study further explored the intra-annual loss and restoration of marsh vegetation in response to hydro-meteorological factors using the transfer entropy (TE) and CCDC-MLSR model constructed by CCDC and Multiple Linear Stepwise Regression (MLSR) algorithms. We found that the bimodal trajectory of phenology reflects two growth processes of marsh vegetation in one year, and high-frequency and high-amplitude loss occurred in shallow-water and deep-water marsh vegetation from April to October, resulting in the loss area within the year was significantly greater than the recovery area. We confirmed that the CCDC algorithm could track the evolution trajectory of time-series phenology of marsh vegetation. We further revealed that precipitation, temperature and frequency of water-level changes are the main driving factors for the spatio-temporal phenological evolution of different marsh vegetation. This study verified the effect of alternative changes of hydrology and climate on loss and recovery of marsh vegetation in each growth stage. The results of this study provide a scientific basis for wetland protection, ecological restoration, and sustainable development.