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《JUE洞察:医院质量能否预测大流行期间的死亡人数?来自美国各县的证据》

JUE Insight: Is hospital quality predictive of pandemic deaths? Evidence from US counties.

作者信息

Kunz Johannes S, Propper Carol

机构信息

Monash University, Monash Business School, 900 Dandenong Road, 3145 Caulfield East, Vic, Australia.

Imperial College London, Department of Economics and Public Policy, South Kensington Campus, SW1A 2AZ United Kingdom.

出版信息

J Urban Econ. 2023 Jan;133:103472. doi: 10.1016/j.jue.2022.103472. Epub 2022 Jun 23.

DOI:10.1016/j.jue.2022.103472
PMID:35765665
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9221951/
Abstract

In the large literature on the spatial-level correlates of COVID-19, the association between quality of hospital care and outcomes has received little attention to date. To examine whether county-level mortality is correlated with measures of hospital performance, we assess daily cumulative deaths and pre-crisis measures of hospital quality, accounting for state fixed-effects and potential confounders. As a measure of quality, we use the pre-pandemic adjusted five-year penalty rates for excess 30-day readmissions following pneumonia admissions for the hospitals accessible to county residents based on ambulance travel patterns. Our adjustment corrects for socio-economic status and down-weighs observations based on small samples. We find that a one-standard-deviation increase in the quality of local hospitals is associated with a 2% lower death rate (relative to the mean of 20 deaths per 10,000 people) one and a half years after the first recorded death.

摘要

在关于新冠疫情空间层面关联因素的大量文献中,医院护理质量与治疗结果之间的关联至今很少受到关注。为了研究县级死亡率是否与医院绩效指标相关,我们评估了每日累计死亡人数以及危机前的医院质量指标,同时考虑了州固定效应和潜在混杂因素。作为质量衡量指标,我们根据救护车行驶模式,使用县居民可及医院肺炎入院后30天再入院超额情况的疫情前调整后五年惩罚率。我们的调整校正了社会经济地位,并基于小样本对观测值进行了加权下调。我们发现,当地医院质量提高一个标准差,在首次记录死亡事件一年半后,死亡率会降低2%(相对于每万人20例死亡的均值)。

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本文引用的文献

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Intern Emerg Med. 2022 Nov;17(8):2299-2313. doi: 10.1007/s11739-022-03092-9. Epub 2022 Sep 25.
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Excess deaths in the United States during the first year of COVID-19.美国在 COVID-19 大流行的第一年的超额死亡人数。
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Endogenous quality investments in the U.S. hospital market.
美国医院市场的内生质量投资。
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Interpreting COVID-19 deaths among nursing home residents in the US: The changing role of facility quality over time.解读美国养老院居民的 COVID-19 死亡病例:设施质量随时间推移而变化的作用。
PLoS One. 2021 Sep 1;16(9):e0256767. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256767. eCollection 2021.
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Stay-at-home orders, social distancing, and trust.居家令、社交距离和信任。
J Popul Econ. 2021;34(4):1321-1354. doi: 10.1007/s00148-021-00848-z. Epub 2021 Jun 19.
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Patient and Hospital Factors Associated With Differences in Mortality Rates Among Black and White US Medicare Beneficiaries Hospitalized With COVID-19 Infection.与 COVID-19 感染住院的美国医疗保险受益的黑人和白人患者死亡率差异相关的患者和医院因素。
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