School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou 730050, China.
School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China.
Ann Agric Environ Med. 2022 Jun 24;29(2):281-286. doi: 10.26444/aaem/147064. Epub 2022 Apr 4.
There is a well-reported association between temperature and the relative risk (RR) of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in urban areas in China. However, insufficient research has been performed in rural areas. The aim of the study was to analyze the association between apparent temperature (AT) and the RR of CVD hospital admissions in rural areas of Pingliang, northwest China.
Daily data and weather conditions were collected in Pingliang from 2014-2015. The median value of AT was selected to estimate the RR of CVD, and the distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) used to examine the relationship between AT and the RR of CVD admissions for up to 21 days.
The results showed a nonlinear relationship between AT and the RR of CVD admissions. Regarding the heat effect, there was a protective effect. Meanwhile, the cold effect on the RR of CVD admissions appeared at day 0 and persisted until day 21, resulting in a cumulative RR of 2.304 (95%CI: 1.809-2.936) compared with the median value of AT, and the maximum RR appeared at about -5 °.The cumulative RR values of CVD on men and adults were more sensitive than those on women and elders in the cold effect.
AT is associated with the hospitalization of CVD patients. Both gender and age factors were associated with the increase in RR of CVD admissions. More preventive measures should be taken to avoid this adverse effect.
在中国城市地区,温度与心血管疾病(CVD)的相对风险(RR)之间存在着众所周知的关联。然而,农村地区的相关研究还不够充分。本研究旨在分析中国西北部平凉农村地区的体感温度(AT)与 CVD 住院率 RR 之间的关系。
2014 年至 2015 年期间,在平凉市收集了每日数据和天气条件。选择 AT 的中位数来估计 CVD 的 RR,并用分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)来检验 AT 与 CVD 住院率 RR 之间长达 21 天的关系。
结果表明,AT 与 CVD 住院率 RR 之间存在非线性关系。关于热效应,存在保护作用。同时,低温对 CVD 住院率 RR 的影响出现在第 0 天,并持续到第 21 天,与 AT 的中位数相比,累积 RR 为 2.304(95%CI:1.809-2.936),最大 RR 出现在约-5°C。在冷效应中,男性和成年人的 CVD 累积 RR 值比女性和老年人更敏感。
AT 与 CVD 患者的住院情况有关。性别和年龄因素均与 CVD 住院率 RR 的增加有关。应采取更多预防措施以避免这种不利影响。