University of Groningen, Oude Boteringestraat 52, Groningen, 9712 GL, the Netherlands.
Stud Hist Philos Sci. 2022 Aug;94:167-176. doi: 10.1016/j.shpsa.2022.06.009. Epub 2022 Jul 1.
It is often assumed that Inference to the Best Explanation, or 'IBE', belongs to the context of justification. But several recent developments might lead one to ask whether it is more appropriate to situate it in the context of pursuit. Peircean abduction, which has been designated as an immediate precursor to IBE, is, according to recent scholarship, best located in the context of discovery and pursuit, rather than justification. Furthermore, alleged difficulties in reconciling IBE with Bayesianism have led to a proposal for giving IBE a non-justificatory role, which is close to that of pursuit. I argue, however, that these considerations do not make a strong case for locating IBE in the context of pursuit. Although abduction plays an important role in the context of pursuit, IBE is not simply a renaming of abduction. It has been reconceptualised in a way which makes it unsuitable to operate in the context of pursuit. Considerations concerning the compatibility between IBE and Bayesianism also do not give strong grounds to locate IBE outside the context of justification. This is because we should not expect that the context of justification can be characterised in purely probabilistic terms. Thus IBE should continue to be regarded as a candidate for characterising epistemic appraisal in the context of justification.
人们通常认为最佳解释推理(IBE)属于辩护的语境。但最近的一些发展可能会让人质疑,将其置于追求的语境中是否更为合适。根据最近的研究,被指定为 IBE 直接前身的皮尔士溯因,最好置于发现和追求的语境中,而不是辩护的语境中。此外,有人认为 IBE 与贝叶斯主义难以调和,这导致有人提议赋予 IBE 一种非辩护性的角色,这种角色与追求的角色相近。然而,我认为这些考虑并不能强有力地支持将 IBE 置于追求的语境中。虽然溯因在追求的语境中起着重要作用,但 IBE 不仅仅是溯因的重新命名。它已经被重新概念化,使其不适合在追求的语境中运作。关于 IBE 和贝叶斯主义之间兼容性的考虑也不能为将 IBE 置于辩护之外提供强有力的理由。这是因为我们不应期望辩护的语境可以用纯粹的概率术语来描述。因此,IBE 应继续被视为在辩护的语境中描述认识评估的候选者。