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中国南京地区环境温度对先兆子痫发病风险的短期影响:一项时间序列分析。

Short-term effects of ambient temperature on the risk of preeclampsia in Nanjing, China: a time-series analysis.

机构信息

Women's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital, Nanjing, China.

Jiangsu Climate Centre, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2022 Jul 4;22(1):539. doi: 10.1186/s12884-022-04859-w.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Previous studies on the association between temperature and preeclampsia mainly considered temperature on a monthly or seasonal time scale. The objective of this study was to assess the preeclampsia risk associated with short-term temperature exposure using daily data.

STUDY DESIGN

Daily preeclampsia hospitalization data, daily meteorological data and daily air pollutant data from Nanjing were collected from 2016 to 2017. Both the T test and distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) were applied to assess the short-term effect of temperature on preeclampsia risk. Three kinds of daily temperature, including the daily mean temperature, daily minimum temperature and daily maximum temperature, were analysed.

RESULTS

When the daily number of preeclampsia hospital admissions was divided into two subgroups based on temperature, it was significantly larger on cold days than on hot days. Regarding the mean temperature, a very low level of mean temperature (4.5 °C, lag = 0-20) and a low level of mean temperature (9.1 °C, lag = 0-20) increased the cumulative relative risk of preeclampsia by more than 60%. At the same time, a very high level of mean temperature (28.7 °C, lags = 0-10, 0-15, 0-20) and a high level of mean temperature (24.1 °C, lags = 0-10, 0-15) decreased the cumulative relative risk of preeclampsia by more than 35%. At a minimum temperature, a very low level of minimum temperature (0.9 °C, lag 0-5) and a low level of minimum temperature (5.6 °C, lag 0-5) increased the cumulative relative risk of preeclampsia by more than 55%. At the same time, a high level of mean temperature (20.9 °C, lags = 0, 0-5) decreased the cumulative relative risk of preeclampsia by more than 20%. The maximum temperature result was similar to the mean temperature result.

CONCLUSIONS

Both direct and lag effects of low temperature on preeclampsia were demonstrated to be significant risk factors. These results could be used to help pregnant women and the government reduce preeclampsia risk.

摘要

目的

以往关于温度与子痫前期关联的研究主要考虑了月度或季节性时间尺度上的温度。本研究的目的是使用日数据评估与短期温度暴露相关的子痫前期风险。

研究设计

收集了 2016 年至 2017 年来自南京的子痫前期住院日数据、每日气象数据和每日空气污染物数据。采用 T 检验和分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)评估温度对子痫前期风险的短期影响。分析了三种日温度,包括日平均温度、日最低温度和日最高温度。

结果

根据温度将子痫前期住院日数分为两组时,低温日显著大于高温日。关于平均温度,极低水平的平均温度(4.5°C,滞后 0-20)和低水平的平均温度(9.1°C,滞后 0-20)使子痫前期的累积相对风险增加了 60%以上。同时,极高水平的平均温度(28.7°C,滞后 0-10、0-15、0-20)和高水平的平均温度(24.1°C,滞后 0-10、0-15)使子痫前期的累积相对风险降低了 35%以上。在最低温度方面,极低水平的最低温度(0.9°C,滞后 0-5)和低水平的最低温度(5.6°C,滞后 0-5)使子痫前期的累积相对风险增加了 55%以上。同时,高水平的平均温度(20.9°C,滞后 0、0-5)使子痫前期的累积相对风险降低了 20%以上。最高温度的结果与平均温度的结果相似。

结论

低温对子痫前期的直接和滞后影响均被证明是显著的危险因素。这些结果可用于帮助孕妇和政府降低子痫前期的风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3311/9252039/dcb4cf0dda54/12884_2022_4859_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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