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无症状患者术前 COVID-19 筛查期间 COVID-19 患病率的荟萃分析。

Meta-analysis of COVID-19 prevalence during preoperative COVID-19 screening in asymptomatic patients.

机构信息

Department of Surgery, Cancer Centre, University Medical Centre, Utrecht, The Netherlands

Department of Surgery, Cancer Centre, University Medical Centre, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2022 Jul 7;12(7):e058389. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-058389.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Patients with COVID-19 may be asymptomatic and are able to transmit COVID-19 during a surgical procedure, resulting in increased pressure on healthcare and reduced control of COVID-19 spread. There remains uncertainty about the implementation of preoperative screening for COVID-19 in asymptomatic surgical patients. Therefore, this study aims to determine the prevalence of preoperative COVID-19, confirmed by reverse transcriptase PCR (RT-PCR), in asymptomatic patients.

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

Pubmed and Embase databases were searched through 20 February 2022.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

All COVID-19 articles including preoperative asymptomatic patients were included.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Two independent reviewers extracted data and assessed risk of bias. Meta-analysis was performed to determine the prevalence of COVID-19 with 95% CI. Moreover, estimated positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value, false-positives (FP) and false-negatives were calculated for preoperative asymptomatic patients.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven studies containing 27 256 asymptomatic preoperative screened patients were included, of which 431 were positive for COVID-19 by RT-PCR test. In addition, the meta-analysis revealed a pooled COVID-19 prevalence of 0.76% (95% CI 0.36% to 1.59%). The calculated PPV for this prevalence is 40.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

The pooled COVID-19 prevalence in asymptomatic patients tested preoperatively was 0.76%, with low corresponding PPV. Consequently, nearly three-quarters of postponed surgical procedures in asymptomatic preoperative patients may be FP. In the event of similar pandemics, modification of preoperative mandatory RT-PCR COVID-19 testing in asymptomatic patients may be considered.

摘要

目的

COVID-19 患者可能无症状,并且能够在手术过程中传播 COVID-19,从而增加医疗保健的压力并降低 COVID-19 传播的控制。对于无症状手术患者是否应实施 COVID-19 的术前筛查,仍存在不确定性。因此,本研究旨在确定无症状患者中通过逆转录酶聚合酶链反应(RT-PCR)确诊的术前 COVID-19 的患病率。

设计

系统评价和荟萃分析。

数据来源

通过 2022 年 2 月 20 日检索 Pubmed 和 Embase 数据库。

纳入标准

所有包含术前无症状患者的 COVID-19 文章均被纳入。

数据提取和综合

两名独立的审查员提取数据并评估偏倚风险。采用荟萃分析确定 COVID-19 的患病率,置信区间为 95%。此外,还计算了术前无症状患者的估计阳性预测值(PPV)、阴性预测值、假阳性(FP)和假阴性。

结果

共纳入 27 项研究,包含 27256 例无症状术前筛查患者,其中 431 例经 RT-PCR 检测 COVID-19 阳性。此外,荟萃分析显示 COVID-19 的总患病率为 0.76%(95% CI 0.36%至 1.59%)。计算得出的该患病率的 PPV 为 40.8%。

结论

术前无症状患者的 COVID-19 总患病率为 0.76%,相应的 PPV 较低。因此,近四分之三的无症状术前患者推迟的手术可能是 FP。在发生类似大流行的情况下,可能需要考虑修改无症状患者术前强制性 RT-PCR COVID-19 检测。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7f9e/9263349/7ffc02944f40/bmjopen-2021-058389f01.jpg

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