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分析 HIV/AIDS 的传播动力学及其最优控制策略和控制状态。

Analysing transmission dynamics of HIV/AIDS with optimal control strategy and its controlled state.

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Naresuan University, Tha Pho, Thailand.

出版信息

J Biol Dyn. 2022 Dec;16(1):499-527. doi: 10.1080/17513758.2022.2096934.

Abstract

HIV is a virus that weakens a person's immune system. HIV has three stages, and AIDS is the most severe stage of HIV (Stage 3). People with HIV should take medicine (called ART) recommended by WHO as soon as possible to reduce the amount of virus in the body. In this paper, we formulate a mathematical model for HIV/AIDS with a new approach by focusing on two groups of infectious individuals, HIV and AIDS. We also introduce a controlled class (treated patients and being monitored), and people in this class can spread the disease. We further investigate the essential dynamics of the model through an equilibrium analysis. Optimal control theory is applied to explore effective treatment strategies by combining two control measures: standard antiretroviral therapy and AIDS treatments. Numerical simulation results show the effects of the two time-dependent controls, and they can be used as guidelines for public health interventions.

摘要

HIV 是一种削弱人体免疫系统的病毒。HIV 有三个阶段,艾滋病是 HIV 最严重的阶段(第 3 阶段)。HIV 感染者应尽快服用世界卫生组织推荐的药物(称为 ART),以减少体内病毒数量。在本文中,我们通过关注两组感染个体(HIV 和艾滋病),采用新方法为 HIV/AIDS 制定了一个数学模型。我们还引入了一个受控类(治疗患者和正在监测),该类人群可以传播疾病。我们通过平衡分析进一步研究了模型的基本动态。通过结合两种控制措施:标准抗逆转录病毒疗法和艾滋病治疗,最优控制理论被应用于探索有效的治疗策略。数值模拟结果显示了两种时变控制的效果,它们可以作为公共卫生干预的指导方针。

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