Stochastic model of ERK-mediated progesterone receptor translocation, clustering and transcriptional activity.

Progesterone receptor (PR) transcriptional activity is a key factor in the differentiation of the uterine endometrium. By consequence, progestin has been identified as an important treatment modality for endometrial cancer. PR transcriptional activity is controlled by extracellular-signal-regulated kinase (ERK) mediated phosphorylation, downstream of growth factor receptors such as EGFR. However, phosphorylation of PR also targets it for ubiquitination and destruction in the proteasome. Quantitative studies of these opposing roles are much needed toward validation of potential new progestin-based therapeutics. In this work, we propose a spatial stochastic model to study the effects of the opposing roles for PR phosphorylation on the levels of active transcription factor. Our numerical simulations confirm earlier in vitro experiments in endometrial cancer cell lines, identifying clustering as a mechanism that amplifies the ability of progesterone receptors to influence gene transcription. We additionally show the usefulness of a statistical method we developed to quantify and control variations in stochastic simulations in general biochemical systems, assisting modelers in defining minimal but meaningful numbers of simulations while guaranteeing outputs remain within a pre-defined confidence level.