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足球换人:教练的想法与做法。

Substitutions in football - what coaches think and what coaches do.

机构信息

Institute of Exercise Training and Sport Informatics, German Sport University Cologne, Cologne, Germany.

出版信息

J Sports Sci. 2022 Aug;40(15):1668-1677. doi: 10.1080/02640414.2022.2099177. Epub 2022 Jul 13.

Abstract

Substitutions are probably the most important opportunity for football coaches to actively influence a match in progress. The present article presents two studies investigating substitutions in football from two different methodological perspectives: Study I, a survey reporting the opinions of 73 licensed coaches, and Study II, data-based analysis of a total of 41,301 substitutions from 7,230 matches in seasons 2014/15 to 2018/19 of the top four European football leagues. The coaches stated to prefer offensive substitutions over defensive substitutions and additionally indicated that changing the current score was more likely to be a reason for substitution than keeping the score. The analysis of the data revealed that not offensive, but neutral substitutions, where the player is replaced by a player of the same playing position, were most frequent. However, offensive players participated significantly more frequently in substitutions. In addition, a high level of score dependence was found, as more than half of the defensive substitutions were made while winning and more than half of the offensive substitutions were made while losing. The present study sheds light on the substitution behaviour of coaches in football and intends to stimulate discussion on the optimal timing and the type of substitutions.

摘要

替换可能是足球教练在比赛中积极影响比赛的最重要机会。本文介绍了两项从两种不同方法论角度研究足球替换的研究:研究 I 是一项调查,报告了 73 名持照教练的意见;研究 II 是对 2014/15 赛季至 2018/19 赛季来自欧洲前四名足球联赛的 7230 场比赛中的 41301 次替换的基于数据的分析。教练们表示更喜欢进攻性替换而不是防守性替换,并且还表示改变当前比分更有可能成为替换的原因,而不是保持比分。数据分析显示,不是进攻性的,而是中性的替换,即球员被同位置的球员替换,更为频繁。然而,进攻型球员在替换中参与的频率明显更高。此外,还发现了高水平的得分依赖性,因为超过一半的防守替换是在领先时进行的,而超过一半的进攻替换是在落后时进行的。本研究揭示了足球教练在替换行为方面的情况,并旨在激发关于最佳替换时机和类型的讨论。

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