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国际贸易、中国对外直接投资与绿色创新对消费碳排放的影响:“一带一路”国家的实证估计

International trade, Chinese foreign direct investment and green innovation impact on consumption-based CO emissions: empirical estimation focusing on BRI countries.

机构信息

College of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, China.

Department of Business Administration, University of Sahiwal, Sahiwal, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Dec;29(59):89014-89028. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-21926-z. Epub 2022 Jul 16.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-21926-z
PMID:35842507
Abstract

Recently, The literature has directed concern towards the consumption-based carbon emission (CCE), which is adjusted for trade. This study aims to examine trade, Chinese foreign direct investment (CFDI), and green innovation (GI) to portray the overall impact of the factors influencing CCE in belt and road initiative (BRI) countries over the period 2003 to 2018. By employing the cross-sectional autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) model, the findings reveal that CFDI and imports positively influence the CCE both in the long run as well as in the short run. The results of GI and exports are found negatively significant in the host countries. The study further employs augmented mean group (AMG) and common correlated mean group (CCEMG) estimators for robustness. Like CS-ARDL, the outcomes of both estimators reveal the same findings that imports and CCE hold a positive relationship in all sample regions. Overall, the study exposes that strategies related to CCE accredited by trade and FDI should recognize their environmental repercussions and implement policies that are environmentally friendly such as green innovation and renewable energy sources to achieve a sustainable development.

摘要

最近,文献关注了基于消费的碳排放(CCE),这是对贸易进行调整后的结果。本研究旨在考察贸易、中国对外直接投资(CFDI)和绿色创新(GI),以描述在 2003 年至 2018 年期间影响“一带一路”倡议(BRI)国家 CCE 的因素的总体影响。通过使用横截面自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)模型,研究结果表明,长期和短期来看,CFDI 和进口都会对 CCE 产生积极影响。在东道国,GI 和出口的结果被发现具有负显著影响。本研究进一步使用扩展均值组(AMG)和共同相关均值组(CCEMG)估计量进行稳健性检验。与 CS-ARDL 一样,两个估计量的结果都表明,在所有样本区域,进口和 CCE 之间都存在正相关关系。总的来说,该研究表明,贸易和外国直接投资认可的与 CCE 相关的战略应该认识到它们的环境影响,并实施有利于环境的政策,如绿色创新和可再生能源,以实现可持续发展。

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