Shichijo Takafumi, Tatetsu Hiro, Nosaka Kisato, Higuchi Yusuke, Kikukawa Yoshitaka, Inoue Yoshitaka, Toyoda Kosuke, Yasunaga Jun-Ichirou, Matsuoka Masao
Department of Hematology, Rheumatology and Infectious Diseases Kumamoto University Hospital Kumamoto Japan.
Department of Hematology and Oncology Kumamoto City Hospital Kumamoto Japan.
EJHaem. 2022 Feb 8;3(2):385-393. doi: 10.1002/jha2.393. eCollection 2022 May.
There remains an unmet clinical need to identify which patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) would benefit from central nervous system (CNS) prophylaxis, due to the low positive predictive value (PPV; 10%-15%) of the currently available predictive models. To stratify patients at high risk of developing CNS relapse, we retrospectively analyzed 182 patients with DLBCL initially treated with rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP), or a R-CHOP-like regimen. Among them, 17 patients relapsed with CNS involvement, and the 2-year rate of CNS relapse was 7.9%. Upon carrying out multivariate analysis, ≥3 extranodal sites and elevated soluble interleukin-2 receptor (sIL-2R) levels at diagnosis were identified as independent risk factors for CNS relapse. The 2-year and 3.5-year rates of CNS relapse were 57.1% and 78.6%, respectively, in patients with both elevated sIL-2R and ≥3 extranodal sites. Furthermore, combined use of these risk factors of both elevated sIL-2R and ≥3 extranodal sites resulted in a high PPV (71.4%), negative predictive value (93.1%), and overall accuracy (92.3%) for undergoing CNS relapse. In conclusion, we propose a simple and valuable tool to predict patients with DLBCL at very high risk of CNS relapse.
由于目前可用的预测模型的阳性预测值较低(10%-15%),确定哪些弥漫性大B细胞淋巴瘤(DLBCL)患者将从中枢神经系统(CNS)预防中获益仍然是一个未满足的临床需求。为了对发生CNS复发的高危患者进行分层,我们回顾性分析了182例最初接受利妥昔单抗、环磷酰胺、阿霉素、长春新碱和泼尼松(R-CHOP)或类似R-CHOP方案治疗的DLBCL患者。其中,17例患者出现CNS受累复发,2年CNS复发率为7.9%。在进行多变量分析时,诊断时≥3个结外部位和可溶性白细胞介素-2受体(sIL-2R)水平升高被确定为CNS复发的独立危险因素。在sIL-2R升高且≥3个结外部位的患者中,2年和3.5年CNS复发率分别为57.1%和78.6%。此外,sIL-2R升高和≥3个结外部位这两种危险因素的联合使用导致CNS复发的阳性预测值(71.4%)、阴性预测值(93.1%)和总体准确率(92.3%)较高。总之,我们提出了一种简单且有价值的工具来预测CNS复发风险非常高的DLBCL患者。