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[基于中断时间序列评估甘肃省扩大免疫规划中乙脑疫苗对报告的乙脑发病率的影响]

[Evaluation of the impact of the Japanese encephalitis vaccine included in an expanded immunization program on the reported incidence rate of Japanese encephalitis in Gansu province-based on interrupted time series].

作者信息

Shi T S, Meng L, Li D H, Zhang X S, Zhao X K, Jin N, Liu Y C, Zheng H M, Zhao X, Li J S, Shen X P, Ren X W

机构信息

Institute of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China.

Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Lanzhou 730000, China.

出版信息

Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2022 Jul 10;43(7):1087-1092. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20211214-00980.

Abstract

To evaluate the impact of the Japanese encephalitis vaccine included in an expanded immunization program on the reported incidence rate of Japanese encephalitis in Gansu province. Information on the reported incidence rate of Japanese encephalitis in Gansu province from 1987 to 2019 was collected through the National Population Health Science Data Center and the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System. In addition, the trend of Japanese encephalitis reported incidence rate in Gansu province before and after the inclusion of the Japanese encephalitis vaccine in the expanded immunization program was analyzed using an interrupted time-series design. The annual reported incidence rate of Japanese encephalitis in Gansu province from 1987 to 2019 was 0.448/per 100 000. However, after the inclusion of the Japanese encephalitis vaccine in the expanded immunization program in Gansu province in 2008, the amount of change in the level of Japanese encephalitis reported incidence rate was -2.223/per 100 000 (=-2.90, =0.007), the amount of change in the slope of Japanese encephalitis reported incidence rate was 0.082 (=2.87, =0.008) with the slope of Japanese encephalitis reported incidence rate as 0.071 (+=0.071). The Japanese encephalitis vaccine has achieved good prevention and control effects in Gansu province in the short term after its inclusion in the expanded immunization program, but outbreaks of Japanese encephalitis have still occurred. Therefore, in the future, Gansu province should promptly adjust the immunization strategy of the Japanese encephalitis vaccine, and strengthen the vaccination of the adult population, especially the rural adult population in the southeastern region of Gansu province, based on the continued focus on the works on Japanese encephalitis vaccination for children and adolescents.

摘要

评估扩大免疫规划中包含的乙型脑炎疫苗对甘肃省乙型脑炎报告发病率的影响。通过国家人口健康科学数据中心和中国疾病预防控制信息系统收集了1987年至2019年甘肃省乙型脑炎报告发病率的信息。此外,采用中断时间序列设计分析了甘肃省扩大免疫规划中纳入乙型脑炎疫苗前后乙型脑炎报告发病率的趋势。1987年至2019年甘肃省乙型脑炎年报告发病率为0.448/10万。然而,2008年甘肃省扩大免疫规划中纳入乙型脑炎疫苗后,乙型脑炎报告发病率水平的变化量为-2.223/10万(=-2.90,=0.007),乙型脑炎报告发病率斜率的变化量为0.082(=2.87,=0.008),乙型脑炎报告发病率斜率为0.071(±=0.071)。乙型脑炎疫苗纳入扩大免疫规划后短期内在甘肃省取得了较好的防控效果,但仍有乙型脑炎疫情发生。因此,未来甘肃省应在继续抓好儿童和青少年乙型脑炎疫苗接种工作的基础上,及时调整乙型脑炎疫苗免疫策略,加强成人特别是甘肃省东南部农村成人的疫苗接种。

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