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美国哥伦拜恩事件后的大规模公共枪击事件:按犯罪凶手种族和民族划分的每起事件中的受害者人数。

US Mass public shootings since Columbine: victims per incident by race and ethnicity of the perpetrator.

机构信息

Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, United States of America.

Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Wisconsin, Madison, United States of America; Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, University of Wisconsin, Madison, United States of America.

出版信息

Prev Med. 2022 Sep;162:107176. doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2022.107176. Epub 2022 Jul 22.

Abstract

White individuals in the United States (US) have historically had disproportionate access to firearms. The real-life availability of firearms, including those most lethal, may still be greater among White populations, manifesting in the number of victims in shootings. We compared the severity of US mass public shootings since Columbine by race and/or ethnicity of the perpetrator using The Violence Project Database of Mass Shooters, assessing fatalities (minimum four), total victims, type, and legal status of guns used. We used data visualization and Quasi-Poisson regression of victims minus four - accounting for truncation at 4 fatalities - to assess fatality and total victim rates comparing Non-Hispanic (NH) White with NH Black shooters, using winsorization to account for outlier bias from the 2017 Las Vegas shooting. In 104 total mass public shootings until summer 2021, NH White shooters had higher median fatalities (6 [IQR 5-9] versus 5 [IQR 4-6]) and total victims (9 [IQR 6-19] versus 7 [IQR 5-12]) per incident. Confidence intervals of NH Black versus NH White fatalities rate ratios (RR) ranged from 0.17-1.15, and of total victim RRs from 0.15-1.04. White shooters were overrepresented in mass public shootings with the most victims, typically involving legally owned assault rifles. To better understand the consequences when firearms are readily available, including assault rifles, we need a database of all US gun violence. Our assessment of total victims beyond fatalities emphasizes the large number of US gun violence survivors and the need to understand their experiences to capture the full impact of gun violence.

摘要

美国的白人在获取枪支方面一直存在不成比例的机会。现实中,包括最致命的枪支在内,白人手中可能拥有更多的枪支,这体现在枪击事件的受害者人数上。我们使用大规模枪击事件暴力项目数据库,比较了自科伦拜恩以来按犯罪者的种族和/或族裔划分的美国大规模公共枪击事件的严重程度,评估了死亡人数(至少 4 人)、总受害者人数、使用枪支的类型和法律地位。我们使用数据可视化和受害者减去 4 人的准泊松回归——考虑到 4 人死亡的截断——来评估非西班牙裔(NH)白人与 NH 黑人枪手的死亡率和总受害者率,使用 winsorization 来解释 2017 年拉斯维加斯枪击事件的异常值偏差。在截至 2021 年夏季的 104 起大规模公共枪击事件中,NH 白人枪手的每起事件的死亡中位数(6 [IQR 5-9] 与 5 [IQR 4-6])和总受害者人数中位数(9 [IQR 6-19] 与 7 [IQR 5-12])更高。NH 黑人与 NH 白人死亡率比率(RR)的置信区间范围为 0.17-1.15,总受害者 RR 范围为 0.15-1.04。白人枪手在涉及通常合法拥有的突击步枪的、受害者人数最多的大规模公共枪击事件中占比过高。为了更好地了解枪支,包括突击步枪,在易于获得的情况下所产生的后果,我们需要一个包含所有美国枪支暴力事件的数据库。我们对超过死亡人数的总受害者人数的评估强调了美国大量枪支暴力幸存者的存在,需要了解他们的经历,以全面了解枪支暴力的影响。

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