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数字经济对长江经济带绿色全要素生产率影响的空间效应研究

A spatial effect study on digital economy affecting the green total factor productivity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.

作者信息

Hu Xinyun, Guo Pengfei

机构信息

Research Center for Economy of Upper Reaches of the Yangtse River, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing, 400067, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Dec;29(60):90868-90886. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22168-9. Epub 2022 Jul 25.

Abstract

With the advent of the Industry 4.0 era, the digital economy (DE) has become a new driver of sustainable development. This paper focuses on DE's green and environmental value. Based on the panel data of 108 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2011 to 2019, we evaluated the temporal and spatial evolution of DE and green total factor productivity (GTFP). The spatial Durbin model analyzes the direct and spatial spillover effects of DE on GTFP, the green efficiency change (GEC), and the green technical change (GTC). The results show that the DE maintains a stable growth trend. GTFP and GTC show a similar fluctuating upward trend, while GEC shows a fluctuating downward trend. Both DE and GTFP show a clustering trend of "high in the lower reaches and low in the upper and middle reaches" and a typical center-periphery pattern over time. Second, for the direct effect, DE has a significant positive impact on GTFP, mainly on GTC rather than GEC. The promotion effect is stronger at the new normal stage, in the lower reaches, and the three major urban agglomerations. Third, for the spatial spillover effect, DE has a trickle-down effect on GTFP and GTC and a siphon effect on GEC, more potent at the new normal stage and in the lower reaches. Compared with peripheral cities, DE has significant trickle-down effects on GTFP, GTC, and GEC in the three major urban agglomerations.

摘要

随着工业4.0时代的到来,数字经济已成为可持续发展的新驱动力。本文聚焦于数字经济的绿色环境价值。基于2011年至2019年长江经济带108个城市的面板数据,我们评估了数字经济和绿色全要素生产率的时空演变。空间杜宾模型分析了数字经济对绿色全要素生产率、绿色效率变化和绿色技术变化的直接效应和空间溢出效应。结果表明,数字经济保持稳定增长趋势。绿色全要素生产率和绿色技术变化呈现相似的波动上升趋势,而绿色效率变化呈现波动下降趋势。随着时间推移,数字经济和绿色全要素生产率均呈现“下游高、中上游低”的集聚趋势和典型的核心-边缘格局。其次,就直接效应而言,数字经济对绿色全要素生产率有显著正向影响,主要作用于绿色技术变化而非绿色效率变化。在新常态阶段、下游地区和三大城市群,促进效应更强。第三,就空间溢出效应而言,数字经济对绿色全要素生产率和绿色技术变化有涓滴效应,对绿色效率变化有虹吸效应,在新常态阶段和下游地区更为显著。与周边城市相比,数字经济对三大城市群的绿色全要素生产率、绿色技术变化和绿色效率变化有显著的涓滴效应。

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