Wang C, Xu X J, Gao F H, Zhang L J, Lü S, Zhang S Q, Xu J
National Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research), WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases, National Center for International Research on Tropical Diseases, National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology, Shanghai 200025, China.
Anhui Provincial Institute of Schistosomiasis Control, China.
Zhongguo Xue Xi Chong Bing Fang Zhi Za Zhi. 2022 Jun 24;34(3):252-258. doi: 10.16250/j.32.1374.2021288.
To analyze the spatial-temporal distribution characteristics of snails in Anhui Province from 2011 to 2020, to provide insights into precision control of snails in Anhui Province.
snail distribution data were collected in Anhui Province from 2011 to 2020 and descriptively analyzed, including actual area of snail habitats, area of emerging snail habitats and area of -infected snails. The actual area of snail habitats and area of emerging snail habitats were subjected to spatial autocorrelation analysis, hotspot analysis, standard deviation ellipse analysis and space-time scanning analysis, and the clusters of snail distribution and settings at high risk of snail spread were identified in Anhui Province from 2011 to 2020.
The actual area of snail habitats gradually decreased in Anhui Province from 2011 to 2020. The actual area of snail habitats were 26 238.85 hm in Anhui Province in 2020, which were mainly distributed in marshland and lake regions. There was a large fluctuation in the area of emerging snail habitats in Anhui Province during the period from 2011 to 2020, with the largest area seen in 2016 (1 287.65 hm), and 1.96 hm emerging infected snail habitats were detected in Guichi District, Chizhou City in 2020. Spatial autocorrelation and hotspot analyses showed spatial clusters in the distribution of actual areas of snail habitats in Anhui Province from 2011 to 2020 ( = 3.00 to 3.43, all values < 0.01), and the hotspots were mainly concentrated in the marshland and lake regions and distributed along the south side of the Yangtze River, while the cold spots were mainly concentrated in the mountainous regions of southern Anhui Province. There were no overall spatial clusters in the distribution of areas of emerging snail habitats ( = -2.20 to 1.71, all values > 0.05), and a scattered distribution was found in local regions. Standard deviation ellipse analysis showed relatively stable distributions of the actual areas of snail habitats in Anhui Province from 2011 to 2020, which was consistent with the flow direction of the Yangtze River, and the focus of the distribution of areas of emerging snail habitats shifted from the lower reaches to upper reaches of Anhui section of the Yangtze River. Space-time scanning analysis identified two high-value clusters in the distribution of actual areas of snail habitats in lower and middle reaches of Anhui section of the Yangtze River from 2011 to 2020, and two high-value clusters in the distribution of areas of emerging snail habitats were identified in mountainous and hilly regions.
There were spatial clusters in the distribution of snails in Anhui Province from 2011 to 2020, which appeared a tendency of aggregation towards the south side and upper reaches of the Yangtze River; however, the spread of snails could not be neglected in mountainous and hilly regions. Monitoring of emerging snail habitats should be reinforced in mountainous and hilly regions and along the Yangtze River basin.
分析2011 - 2020年安徽省钉螺的时空分布特征,为安徽省钉螺精准防控提供依据。
收集2011 - 2020年安徽省钉螺分布数据并进行描述性分析,包括钉螺栖息地实际面积、新增钉螺栖息地面积和感染性钉螺面积。对钉螺栖息地实际面积和新增钉螺栖息地面积进行空间自相关分析、热点分析、标准差椭圆分析及时空扫描分析,明确2011 - 2020年安徽省钉螺分布聚集区及螺情传播高风险区域。
2011 - 2020年安徽省钉螺栖息地实际面积呈逐年下降趋势。2020年安徽省钉螺栖息地实际面积为26238.85公顷,主要分布于江滩和湖区。2011 - 2020年安徽省新增钉螺栖息地面积波动较大,2016年新增面积最大,为1287.65公顷,2020年池州市贵池区发现新增感染性钉螺栖息地1.96公顷。空间自相关和热点分析显示,2011 - 2020年安徽省钉螺栖息地实际面积分布存在空间聚集性(全局Moran's I = 3.00至3.43,P值均<0.01),热点主要集中在江滩和湖区且沿长江南岸分布,冷点主要集中在皖南山区。新增钉螺栖息地面积分布无全局空间聚集性(全局Moran's I = -2.20至1.71,P值均>0.05),局部区域呈散在分布。标准差椭圆分析显示,2011 - 2020年安徽省钉螺栖息地实际面积分布相对稳定,与长江流向一致,新增钉螺栖息地面积分布重心由长江安徽段下游向上游转移。时空扫描分析显示,2011 - 2020年长江安徽段中下游钉螺栖息地实际面积分布存在2个高值聚集区,山区和丘陵地区新增钉螺栖息地面积分布存在2个高值聚集区。
2011 - 2020年安徽省钉螺分布存在空间聚集性,呈向长江南岸及上游聚集趋势,但山区和丘陵地区钉螺扩散情况不容忽视。应加强山区、丘陵地区及长江流域新增钉螺栖息地监测。