School of Management Engineering and Business, Hebei University of Engineering, Handan 056038, China.
Hebei Key Laboratory of Intelligent Water Conservancy, Hebei University of Engineering, Handan 056038, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Jul 23;19(15):8969. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19158969.
With the proposal of China's high-quality development strategy, how to promote regional stability and coordinated development based on a deep understanding of the main contradictions and changes in China's society has become the focus of research. High-quality development is a brand-new coordinated development concept, which aims to optimize the economic structure, transform the development model, enhance the development momentum, and take innovation as the primary driving force. How to promote the coordinated development of this region has become a hot issue considered by scholars. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is the capital economic circle of China, and the purpose of this study is to promote the coordinated and stable development of the region. On this premise, this paper firstly adopts the composite Grey Lotka-Volterra (GLV) model and Fractional GM(1,1) (FGM(1,1)) model to research Water Resources system-Economic System-Industrial System-Technology Innovation System in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Secondly, by analyzing the research data, it is found that the relationship between the system is very complex, and the stability calculation results are all below 0. Then, the analysis of the research results shows that there is no obvious coordination among the three regions, and they have not yet reached a state of mutual promotion and stable and coordinated development. Finally, four suggestions are put forward for the coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. This can not only provide direction for the future development of the region but also have reference significance for the development of other regions. Further, accelerate the coordination and unity of all factors of production in China and promote China's development at a deeper and higher level.
随着中国高质量发展战略的提出，如何在深刻认识中国社会主要矛盾和变化的基础上，促进区域稳定协调发展，成为研究的重点。高质量发展是一种全新的协调发展理念，旨在优化经济结构、转变发展模式、增强发展动力，以创新为首要驱动力。如何促进该地区的协调发展已成为学者们关注的热点问题。京津冀地区是中国的首都经济圈，本研究的目的是促进该地区的协调稳定发展。在此前提下，本文首先采用复合灰色 Lotka-Volterra（GLV）模型和分数阶 GM（1,1）（FGM（1,1））模型对京津冀地区水资源系统-经济系统-产业系统-技术创新系统进行研究。其次，通过分析研究数据，发现系统之间的关系非常复杂，且稳定性计算结果均低于 0。然后，对研究结果的分析表明，这三个区域之间没有明显的协调性，它们还没有达到相互促进、稳定协调发展的状态。最后，针对京津冀地区的协调发展提出了四点建议。这不仅可以为该地区的未来发展提供方向，也对其他地区的发展具有借鉴意义。进一步加快中国各生产要素的协调统一，推动中国向更深层次、更高水平发展。
