School of Management, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an, 710055, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Nov;28(41):57751-57768. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-14656-1. Epub 2021 Jun 6.
The rapid industrialization and the lack of technological innovation over the past 40 years have caused serious environmental pollution and waste of resources. Therefore, it remains an urgent challenge to coordinate technological innovation, resource consumption, environmental quality, and high-quality industrial development in China. Using the data of Shaanxi Province from 2005 to 2019, in this paper, we adopt the 4-population grey Lotka-Volterra model (GLV) to study the competition and cooperation among technological innovation (TI), resource consumption (RE), environmental quality (EE), and industrial development quality (IQ). We also discuss the equilibrium point and stability of the GLV model and further verify its accuracy. We conduct an empirical study of the data of Shaanxi Province, and the results demonstrate that (1) TI is able to improve EE, increase IQ, and promote RE; (2) conserving resources has a positive effect on TI, EE, and IQ; (3) although EE could prevent TI and IQ, it can reduce RE; and (4) IQ can effectively reduce RE and improve EE; however, it hinders TI. (5) The result of equilibrium analysis reveals that the evolution of the four factors will tend to reach a stable equilibrium point in the future, that is, realizing co-evolution.
过去 40 年的快速工业化和缺乏技术创新导致了严重的环境污染和资源浪费。因此,协调技术创新、资源消耗、环境质量和高质量产业发展仍然是中国面临的紧迫挑战。本文利用 2005-2019 年陕西省的数据,采用四种群灰色 Lotka-Volterra 模型(GLV)研究技术创新(TI)、资源消耗(RE)、环境质量(EE)和产业发展质量(IQ)之间的竞争与合作。我们还讨论了 GLV 模型的平衡点和稳定性,并进一步验证了其准确性。我们对陕西省的数据进行了实证研究,结果表明:(1) TI 能够提高 EE、增加 IQ 并促进 RE;(2)节约资源对 TI、EE 和 IQ 具有积极影响;(3)尽管 EE 可以阻止 TI 和 IQ,但它可以减少 RE;(4)IQ 可以有效地减少 RE 并提高 EE;然而,它阻碍了 TI。(5)均衡分析的结果表明,未来这四个因素的演变将趋向于达到一个稳定的平衡点,即实现协同进化。