Sprong Stefanie, Gibbons Ryan Alberto, Chzhen Yekaterina
University of Dublin, Ireland.
Longit Life Course Stud. 2022 Jul 1;14(1):128-137. doi: 10.1332/175795921X16551460545543.
While research has investigated the effects of the Great Recession on the Irish economy using economic indicators or cross-sectional household-level data, this research note applies group-based multitrajectory modelling to provide a more nuanced approach. Using nationally representative, longitudinal data from the Growing Up in Ireland study, we analyse patterns in three common measures of economic well-being (financial strain; disposable income; material deprivation) across Irish households in the period leading up to, during and after the Great Recession, and subsequently, break down the characteristics for each group of trajectories. We identify six distinct trajectory clusters, which all indicate declining income and increasing financial strain from the start to the height of the economic depression. However, trajectory groupings show that experiences were far from uniform, with previous economic well-being and demographic characteristics shaping the household experience. Implications for future research are discussed.
虽然已有研究使用经济指标或横截面家庭层面数据调查了大衰退对爱尔兰经济的影响,但本研究报告采用基于群体的多轨迹建模方法,以提供一种更细致入微的研究途径。利用来自爱尔兰成长研究的具有全国代表性的纵向数据,我们分析了大衰退之前、期间和之后爱尔兰家庭经济福祉的三个常见衡量指标(财务压力、可支配收入、物质匮乏)的模式,随后剖析了每组轨迹的特征。我们识别出六个不同的轨迹集群,所有集群均表明从经济衰退开始到高峰期,收入下降且财务压力增加。然而,轨迹分组显示,家庭经历远非千篇一律,先前的经济福祉和人口特征塑造了家庭的经历。文中还讨论了对未来研究的启示。